This study innovatively utilizes the Google Earth Engine (GEE) cloud platform, combined with a multispectral index rule set, to address the challenges of extracting open-surface water bodies in the middle reaches of the Tarim River Basin (MROTR). To overcome the limitations of traditional index methods, particularly the reduced extraction accuracy caused by mixed pixels in arid environments, this research integrates indices such as MNDWI, NDVI, and EVI for automated water extraction, significantly enhancing the precision of water body delineation. By analyzing the spatiotemporal changes in open-surface water area (SWA) from 1990 to 2022, a notable increase in SWA was observed following the implementation of ecological gate-controlled water management, while a decreasing trend was identified within an 8-km range from the riverbanks. The results show a 93.7% accuracy in surface water identification and an SWA growth rate of 12.47 km2/year, with 96% of this growth attributed to seasonal water areas. Runoff loss decreased by 8.53% in the S1 and S2 regions but increased by 7.76% in the S3 and S4 regions. The mixed index rule method proved effective for large-scale water detection, offering new insights for managing arid region water resources.

  • The responses of the SWA after ecological water control in the MROTR were analyzed.

  • The construction of ecological sluices and water conveyance dikes has significantly impacted the water distribution and river loss in different sections of the MROTR.

  • Water conveyance through ecological sluice groups has improved water resource utilization and increased water transfer to downstream river sections.

Open-surface water bodies are a crucial component of global terrestrial ecosystems (Lu et al. 2023), providing essential water resources for both humans and natural systems. These surface water bodies, which include natural lakes, ponds, and rivers, as well as artificial reservoirs, ditches, and channels, serve as important water sources for terrestrial ecosystems, especially in arid inland areas (Song et al. 2024). They are key environmental factors for maintaining the stability of terrestrial ecosystems and supporting sustainable economic and social development (Yu et al. 2023). Furthermore, they provide the necessary resources for the survival of organisms and the development of human society (Jin et al. 2023; Kencanawati et al. 2023; Amindin et al. 2024; Tan et al. 2024). However, there has been a recent decline in global terrestrial water storage, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions where the natural water balance has been severely disturbed (Wang et al. 2018). The resulting changes in open-surface water bodies can lead to regional water shortages, unintended flooding, and other disasters (Ticehurst et al. 2014; Patel et al. 2015; Abbas 2023; Klein et al. 2024). Therefore, the rational regulation of water resources through riparian eco-hydraulic projects and the accurate, dynamic investigations of the spatial extent and time-series characteristics of open-surface water resources have attracted significant attention from scientific communities globally.

Remote sensing and GIS-based techniques utilizing Earth observation datasets have become popular tools. For many years, surface water monitoring has been a major focus of remote sensing tools and techniques globally (Abbas et al. 2023; Jiang et al. 2023). Two main methods are used for detecting open-surface water bodies from optical remote sensing images: sample-dependent machine learning methods requiring training data and sample-free indexing methods using mathematical formulas (Wang et al. 2018; Chen et al. 2024). Machine learning methods are emerging techniques characterized by strong noise resistance and high classification accuracy (Lin et al. 2022; Cui et al. 2024; Wang et al. 2024). However, these methods also have disadvantages, including strict training sample standards, high computational resource requirements, and high time consumption (Sun & Scanlon 2019).

Recent studies have leveraged the power of geospatial cloud computing (Gorelick et al. 2017) to integrate various indices for more effective water body monitoring. Zou et al. (2017) constructed a hybrid index rule set based on the MNDWI, the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and the enhanced vegetation index (EVI) for automatic extraction of water bodies. This rule set does not require setting a threshold for the MNDWI and is more accurate than the existing MNDWI rule set (Zou et al. 2018a). Traditional indices, such as the normalized difference water index (NDWI), often produce significant noise due to the spectral similarity between open surface water and other landscapes like bare ground or urban areas, making differentiation challenging (Singh et al. 2015). Additionally, single indices may misclassify water bodies containing impurities, reducing extraction accuracy (Wang et al. 2023). To address these issues, we employed a mixed index rule set that integrates auxiliary data such as NDVI and EVI as constraints, which helps mitigate interference to some extent (Tamiminia et al. 2020). Furthermore, Jin et al. (2019) successfully addressed the issue of terrain shadows being misclassified by incorporating digital elevation models. This comprehensive approach using integrated indices has become a reliable strategy for monitoring open water bodies (Mayer et al. 2021). Compared with previous studies, this method represents a significant improvement, offering a more robust and adaptable solution for water body monitoring, particularly in complex landscapes where traditional methods may be less effective. Recent advancements in Google Earth Engine (GEE) have enhanced remote sensing capabilities for large-scale and long-term water body analysis. Pekel et al. (2016) utilized the GEE platform and water body extraction method to create a high-resolution global water dynamics dataset from 1984 to 2020, capturing various water characteristics. Zou et al. (2018b) analyzed U.S. open water surface trends using 200 TB of GEE-processed data.

Currently, extensive research has primarily focused on the impact of ecological water transfer on the restoration of severely degraded riparian vegetation along the Tarim River and the ecological water requirements of desert riparian forests. However, there has been limited study on how the regulation of water flow through these gates affects the distribution patterns of open-surface water bodies. To address this gap, this study focuses on the middle reaches of the Tarim River (MROTR) (between Yingbazha and Qiala) as the research area. Utilizing the GEE cloud platform and integrating Landsat-5/7/8 satellite imagery, this research employs a mixed index rule set for the automated extraction of water bodies to reveal the spatiotemporal dynamics of open-surface water area (SWA) over the past 30 years. The findings of this study can provide scientific support for water resource management in arid regions.

Study area

The Tarim River, in southern Xinjiang, northwestern China, is the country's largest inland river (Li et al. 2023). The mainstream stretches 1,321 km, originates from Xiaojiake, flows from west to east along the northern edge of the Taklamakan Desert, and discharges into Lake Taitema. We focused on the MROTR. The middle reaches are between 40.54°N and 41.53°N and 84.18°E and 86.88°E, spanning a length of 398 km. This region experiences a temperate continental arid climate, with an average annual temperature ranging from 9.7 to 10.7 °C, annual precipitation between 17.4 and 42.8 mm, and an average annual evaporation rate ranging from 1,125 to 1,600 mm. Protective dikes, 1–3 km wide, run along both sides of the river (Figure 1). The terrain is flat, the river is meandering, and its course is relatively stable, with tributaries forming a complex water network (Yu et al. 2016). Due to the shallow riverbed, gentle slope, and slow water flow, sediment deposition is plentiful, leading to limited water conveyance capacity and frequent river course changes during flood periods, resulting in abandoned channels and oxbow lakes (Yu et al. 2016). The dominant tree and shrub species in the study area are Populus euphratica and Tamarix spp., supplemented by meadow, marsh, and aquatic vegetation (Jiang et al. 2022).
Figure 1

Map of the study area.

Figure 1

Map of the study area.

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In 2000, the government initiated comprehensive management and protection measures for the Tarim River Basin, constructing water conveyance dikes and ecological gates along the mainstream, completed in 2009. The objective was to protect natural vegetation outside the dikes by promoting lateral overflow of the river (Qian et al. 2024). Along the MROTR, from Yingbazha to Qiala, 34 ecological gates were installed on the water conveyance dikes, with 11 gates designed for flows greater than 20 m3/s. We divided the Yingbazha to Qiala section into four subregions: S1 (Yingbazha to Shazihe), S2 (Shazihe to Wusiman), S3 (Wusiman to Arqike), and S4 (Arqike to Qiala).

Data sources

  • (1) Landsat series remote sensing data (https://landsatlook.usgs.gov/): Landsat 5, 7, and 8 surface reflectance Tier 1 images from 1990 to 2022 for the MROTR were selected. These images underwent atmospheric correction using the LEDAPS and LaSRC algorithms and were preprocessed to remove clouds, snow, etc., using the CFMASK algorithm. These products were accessed and processed on the GEE cloud platform, where batch operations were employed to calculate the annual NDVI and FVC from 1990 to 2022.

  • (2) Global surface water data (JRC-GSW dataset https://global-surface-water.appspot.com/): Data from 1990 to 2020 were collected, including annual water history, maximum water extent, transitions, change intensity, and seasonality.

  • (3) Sentinel-2 MSI remote sensing data (https://scihub.copernicus.eu/): Sentinel-2 MSI is a high-resolution multispectral imaging satellite with a revisit cycle of 10 days. The spatial resolution of its remote sensing data is 10 m, which is greater than that of the Landsat series satellites, and the imaging intervals are relatively short. High-resolution images with cloud cover of less than 10% were obtained through filtering operations on the GEE cloud platform, and these images were used for accuracy validation of the water body extraction results. Detailed information on all the data is provided in Table 1.

  • (4) Hydrological data: Annual runoff data from 1990 to 2022 were collected at Yinbazha and Qiala hydrological stations. Annual runoff data from 2000 to 2022 were collected at Wusiman hydrological station and from 2005 to 2022 at Arqike monitoring section. Monthly data on ecological and agricultural water transfers at each ecological lock of the Tarim River main stream from 2013 to 2022 were also collected.

  • (5) NASA's digital elevation model (DEM) data (https://search.earthdata.nasa.gov/).

  • (6) Land use data for the Tarim River Basin from 1990 to 2020 were obtained from the Resource and Environment Science Data Center of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (https://www.resdc.cn/).

Table 1

All the datasets used in this study

DateTime scaleSpatial resolutionTime resolution
JRC-GSW (V1.3) 1990—2020 30 m — 
Landsat 5 TM 1990—2012 30 m 15 days 
Landsat 7 ETM + 1999—2002 30 m 15 days 
Landsat 8 OLI 2013—2020 30 m 15 days 
Sentinel-2 MSI 2017—2020 10 m 10 days 
NASA DEM 2020 30 m  
DateTime scaleSpatial resolutionTime resolution
JRC-GSW (V1.3) 1990—2020 30 m — 
Landsat 5 TM 1990—2012 30 m 15 days 
Landsat 7 ETM + 1999—2002 30 m 15 days 
Landsat 8 OLI 2013—2020 30 m 15 days 
Sentinel-2 MSI 2017—2020 10 m 10 days 
NASA DEM 2020 30 m  

Study methods

Mixed index method for water extraction

In this study, a hybrid index rule set was used to extract surface water bodies, based on the algorithm proposed by Zou et al. (2018b) (Figure 2). Using JavaScript scripts on the GEE platform, Landsat satellite imagery was processed to remove clouds and calculate the MNDWI proposed by Xu (2006), the NDVI proposed by Huete & Jackson (1987), and the EVI proposed by Waring et al. (2006). Water bodies were extracted using the rule MNDWI > NDVI or MNDWI > EVI, with EVI < 0.1. The formulas for the different indices are as follows:
(1)
(2)
(3)
where Blue, Green, Red, NIR, and SWIR represent the blue, green, red, near-infrared, and short-wave infrared bands of Landsat imagery, respectively.
Figure 2

Flowchart for extraction from open-surface water bodies.

Figure 2

Flowchart for extraction from open-surface water bodies.

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Since the hybrid spectral index method extracts considerable mountain shadows, researchers (Zhang et al. 2018) aimed to eliminate mountain shadows within water bodies using a terrain slope rule of less than 8°, improving the extraction results. The water inundation frequency (WIF) was calculated by dividing the number of times a pixel was identified as water by the number of valid observations in a year. Based on prior experience (Deng et al. 2020), water bodies with 25% < WIF ≤ 75% were classified as seasonal, while those with WIF > 75% were classified as permanent. The WIF calculation formula is as follows:
(4)
where N represents the number of valid observations in a year, and w represents the binary variable of the pixel type, with water as 1 and non-water as 0.

SWA trend slope analysis method

The formula for calculating the interannual variation rate (slope) of the SWA time series for permanent or seasonal water bodies is as follows:
(5)
where is the SWA value of the i-th year and n is the total number of years. When Slope > 0, the SWA shows an increasing trend, and when Slope < 0, the SWA shows a decreasing trend. When the F-test with a significance level of α < 0.05 is passed, the SWA shows a significant trend.
Since the SWA of the entire basin is obtained by summing the SWA of different subregions and since the ecological sluice water volume and river loss vary across different subregions, the contribution rate of interannual changes in each subregion to the interannual variation in the SWA in the entire basin can be calculated using the following formula:
(6)
where is the interannual variation in the SWA of the entire basin; is the interannual variation in the SWA of the i-th subregion; n is the number of subregions; and is the contribution rate of the i-th subregion to the interannual variation in the SWA of the entire basin.

Phases of ecological sluice construction

Based on the periods of dike construction and ecological sluice implementation along the Tarim River, three distinct phases can be identified: the no ecological gate (NEG) phase from 1990 to 2000, the ecological gate construction (EGC) phase from 2000 to 2010, and the ecological gate control water (EGCW) phase from 2010 to 2022.

Accuracy of open-surface water body extraction

The accuracy of surface water body extraction using Sentinel-2 MSI imagery will be assessed and validated through comparison with 2019 Landsat data and the JRC-GSW dataset. Based on high-resolution Sentinel-2 MSI imagery, a total of 715 samples, comprising water bodies and non-water bodies, were selected within the MROTR. These samples included various types such as rivers, lakes, reservoirs, and silt dams. Based on high-resolution Sentinel-2 MSI images acquired from 2019 to 2022, the surface water data extracted from the 2019 Landsat time series data were validated against the surface water dataset. A confusion matrix was plotted, and the producer accuracy, user accuracy, overall accuracy, and kappa coefficient were calculated to quantitatively characterize the accuracy of water extraction. A total of 670 water samples were correctly extracted, resulting in a water extraction accuracy of 93.71%. The classification results were verified with a kappa coefficient of 0.87 (Table 2), indicating the high accuracy of the water classification results. Comparisons were made between the 2019 water extraction results of this study and the 2019 JRC global water product for various water bodies, including lakes and rivers (Figure 3).
Table 2

Confusion matrix of surface water extraction accuracy assessment

Visual interpretation of Sentinel-2Water extraction of Landsat 5/7/8
TotalUser's accuracy
WaterNon-water
Water 380 21 401 94.76% 
Non-water 24 290 314 92.36% 
Total 404 311 715  
Producer's accuracy 94.06% 93.25%   
 Totality accuracy 93.71% Kappa coefficient 0.87 
Visual interpretation of Sentinel-2Water extraction of Landsat 5/7/8
TotalUser's accuracy
WaterNon-water
Water 380 21 401 94.76% 
Non-water 24 290 314 92.36% 
Total 404 311 715  
Producer's accuracy 94.06% 93.25%   
 Totality accuracy 93.71% Kappa coefficient 0.87 
Figure 3

Comparison of surface water extraction results from this study (I) and JRC product data (II) for different water bodies (A: Kargaqu Reservoir, B: Qiala Reservoir, C: Tarim Reservoir, D/E/F: Tarim River channels).

Figure 3

Comparison of surface water extraction results from this study (I) and JRC product data (II) for different water bodies (A: Kargaqu Reservoir, B: Qiala Reservoir, C: Tarim Reservoir, D/E/F: Tarim River channels).

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Spatiotemporal dynamics of open-surface water bodies

Temporal dynamics of open-surface water bodies

We will analyze the temporal dynamics of SWA in the MROTR from 1990 to 2022, evaluating the growth trend of SWA and examining its relationship with observed runoff changes at hydrological stations. This will reveal the dynamic characteristics of water bodies in the MROTR over the past three decades. Through detailed calculations of SWA in the MROTR from 1990 to 2022, including permanent and seasonal water areas as well as their totals (Figure 4), crucial findings were obtained. The SWA in this region increased by 411.62 km2, from 79.36 km2 in 1990 to 490.98 km2 in 2022, with a corresponding change rate of 12.47 km2/year. During this period, the SWA increased from 79.36 km2 in 1990 to 285.01 km2 in 1999, at a rate of 20.5 km2/year. From 2000 to 2009, the SWA decreased from 256.55 to 87.73 km2, with a rate of −16.88 km2/year. From 2009 to 2022, the SWA showed a significant increasing trend, with a rate of 28.8 km2/year. The observed trends in the measured runoff at the hydrological stations in the MROTR corresponded with the changes in the total SWA. Changes in permanent water area were not significant, whereas the trend in seasonal water area closely mirrored the overall SWA trend, with a change rate of 11.86 km2/year. From 1990 to 2022, particularly between 2009 and 2022, the seasonal water area exhibited a significant upward trend. This indicated that over the past 33 years, especially during the EGCW phase, the surface water dynamics in the MROTR have been notably active.
Figure 4

MROTR surface water area time series, 1990–2022.

Figure 4

MROTR surface water area time series, 1990–2022.

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Spatial dynamics of water body structure

In this section, GIS technology will be employed to analyze the spatial structure changes of SWA in the MROTR from 1990 to 2022. The focus will be on evaluating changes in water body distribution within various subregions and the impact of reservoirs on the expansion of water surface areas. Using GIS to integrate 33 water body images from 1990 to 2022, a long-term surface water coverage map of the MROTR was produced (Figure 5(a)). During the NEG phase, the cumulative maximum water area in the MROTR was 2,870 km2. During the EGC phase, the annual cumulative maximum water area was 2,598 km2. During the EGCW phase, the cumulative maximum water area increased to 4,329 km2. For a multiscale analysis of the MROTR, the area was divided into four subregions (S1, S2, S3, and S4) along the river at 60 km intervals. Water bodies were mainly distributed on the northern bank, with S1 accounting for the smallest portion at 14.23% (Figure 5(d)) and S4 accounting for the largest at 36.58%. The annual average areas of seasonal water in S1 to S4 (Figure 5(b), 5(c), 5(e), 5(f)) were 40.33, 56.04, 70.05, and 85.02 km2, respectively. The cumulative water area was calculated for every decade over the past 30 years (Figure 5(g)), revealing that S4 had the largest cumulative water area from 1990 to 2022, while S1 had the smallest. Preliminary analysis suggested that the larger water area in S4 was due to the presence of two reservoirs (Kaerquga and Qiala).
Figure 5

MROTR S1–S4 surface water area, 1990–2022.

Figure 5

MROTR S1–S4 surface water area, 1990–2022.

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Dynamics of major reservoir SWA

This section will examine SWA changes in the three major reservoirs in the MROTR, assessing their influence on SWA changes in different regions (Figure 6). Three reservoirs are located in the MROTR: the Karugaqu Reservoir (KGQ), the Tarim River Reservoir (TLM), and the Chala Reservoir (QL). The KGQ is located in the S2 region, while the TLM and QL are located in the S4 region. The SWA of the KGQ did not increase significantly from 1990 to 2022, with an annual average SWA of 20.26 km2, contributing 4.01% to the MROTR SWA. Consequently, the SWA trend of the KGQ reservoir affects the SWA of the S2 region, contributing 26.96%. The SWAs of TLM and QL showed significant increasing trends from 1990 to 2022 (R2 = 0.61 and 0.43, respectively). The SWA of the TLM increased from 16.5 to 25.26 km2, with a growth rate of 0.88 km2/year, while the SWA of the QL increased from 50.5 to 60.07 km2, with a growth rate of 0.96 km2/year. The SWA of the QL contributed 11.2% to the MROTR SWA and 30.49% to the S4 SWA. The SWA of the TLM contributed 6.99% to the MROTR SWA and 19.04% to the S4 SWA.
Figure 6

The spatial and temporal changes in the SWAs of the reservoirs in the MROTR from 1990 to 2022.

Figure 6

The spatial and temporal changes in the SWAs of the reservoirs in the MROTR from 1990 to 2022.

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Water response to ecological gate control

Water changes before and after gate control

The annual SWA from 1990 to 2022 was categorized into four levels: SWA < 200 km2, 200 km2 < SWA < 300 km2, 300 km2 < SWA < 400 km2, and SWA > 400 km2. We defined SWA I as dry years, SWA II as normal years, SWA III as wet years, and SWA IV as extremely wet years, as detailed in Table 3.

Table 3

MROTR surface water area classification table

SWA gradeBasis of delineationYear
Ⅰ SWA < 200 km2 1990, 1997, 1993, 2007, 2008, 2009 
Ⅱ 200 km2 < SWA < 300 km2 1991, 1992, 1995, 1997, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2012, 2014, 2020, 2021 
Ⅲ 300 km2 < SWA < 400 km2 1996, 1998, 2005, 2006, 2010, 2011, 2013, 2015, 2018, 2019 
Ⅳ SWA > 400 km2 1994, 2016, 2017, 2022 
SWA gradeBasis of delineationYear
Ⅰ SWA < 200 km2 1990, 1997, 1993, 2007, 2008, 2009 
Ⅱ 200 km2 < SWA < 300 km2 1991, 1992, 1995, 1997, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2012, 2014, 2020, 2021 
Ⅲ 300 km2 < SWA < 400 km2 1996, 1998, 2005, 2006, 2010, 2011, 2013, 2015, 2018, 2019 
Ⅳ SWA > 400 km2 1994, 2016, 2017, 2022 

We analyzed the SWA for years with different water inflow levels. For SWA level II, the years 1993, 2001, and 2014 were selected for analysis. For SWA level III, the years 1996, 2005, 2013, 1998, 2006, and 2019 were analyzed. For SWA level IV, the years 1994 and 2022 were selected for analysis.

Using GIS software, buffer zones were established at 1 km intervals from the ecological gates along the midstream riverbank, and the SWA for each 1 km segment was calculated. The analysis revealed that the SWA exhibited varying degrees of change at different distances from the riverbank before and after the construction of the ecological gates (Figure 7). Within the 2–8 km range from the ecological gate, the SWA during the EGCW phase decreased by an average of 4.73 km2/km compared with that during the NEG phase, and during the EGC phase, it decreased by an average of 6.1 km2/km compared with that during the NEG phase. In the 10–40 km range from the ecological gate, during wet years, the SWA in the EGCW phase increased by an average of 1.29 km2/km compared with that in the NEG phase. In the 23–35 km range from the ecological gate, during average water years, the SWA in the EGCW phase increased by an average of 1.12 km2/km compared with that in the NEG phase.
Figure 7

SWA in areas at different distances from the ecological gate. (a) SWA for different construction phases of ecogate in dry years. (b) SWA for different construction phases of ecogate in normal years. (c) SWA for different construction phases of ecogate in wet years. (d) SWA for different construction phases of ecogate in extremely wet years.

Figure 7

SWA in areas at different distances from the ecological gate. (a) SWA for different construction phases of ecogate in dry years. (b) SWA for different construction phases of ecogate in normal years. (c) SWA for different construction phases of ecogate in wet years. (d) SWA for different construction phases of ecogate in extremely wet years.

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After 2010, with the completion of the Tarim River embankments and EGC, there was a reduction in ineffective water spillage within the 8 km range from the riverbank. This facilitated long-distance lateral water conveyance, increasing the SWA within the 23–35 km range during average water years and extending the conveyance distance up to 40 km during wet years, thereby increasing the SWA within the 10–40 km range.

River loss response to water diversion

This section will analyze changes in river loss across subregions of the MROTR before and after ecological gate control, evaluating the impact of ecological hydraulic engineering on water resource allocation and river water transfer efficiency. Data on water inflow from the hydrological stations at Yingbazha (YBZ), Wusman (WSM), Arqike (AQK), and Qiala (QL) in the MROTR were analyzed. The river loss was calculated for each monitoring section: YBZ-QL represented the total river loss in the MROTR (Figure 8(a)); YBZ-WSM represented the river loss in the S1 and S2 regions (Figure 8(b)); WSM-AQK represented the river loss in the S3 region (Figure 8(c)); and AQK-QL represented the river loss in the S4 region (Figure 8(d)). The results indicated that the river loss in the YBZ-WSM section accounted for 70.53% of the total river loss in the MROTR from 2000 to 2010, which decreased to 62% after the completion of water diversion embankments and the implementation of ecological water diversion projects. This suggests a reduction in water allocation to the S1 and S2 regions following the construction of ecological water projects. In the S3 region, the proportion of river loss decreased from 19.97 to 11.94% following the ecological water projects. The river loss in the WSM-QL section increased from 29.47 to 37.23% following the construction of water diversion embankments and ecological water projects, highlighting the effectiveness of these projects in reducing ineffective water loss, improving water resource utilization, and increasing water transfer to downstream river sections.
Figure 8

Time series of river loss in various channels in the MROTR.

Figure 8

Time series of river loss in various channels in the MROTR.

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Subregional contribution to SWA

This section will assess changes in the contribution of SWA in each subregion to the overall SWA, and analyze the correlation between river loss and SWA in these areas, evaluating the impact of ecological gate-controlled water on water distribution and river water resource allocation across different regions. An analysis of the correlation and contribution of the SWA and runoff loss in each subregion to the SWA of the MROTR revealed that the contribution of the SWA of the S1 region decreased from 15.79% during the NEG phase to 10.49% during the EGCW phase. The contribution of the SWA of the S2 region significantly increased from 29.86% during the NEG phase to 52.81% during the EGCW phase. In the S3 region, the contribution of the SWA decreased from 46.35% during the NEG phase to 24.41% during the EGCW phase. The S4 region's contribution of SWA to the MROTR first significantly increased from 8.01% during the NEG phase to 23.88% during the EGC phase and then decreased to 12.29% during the EGCW phase. Among the subregions, the SWA of S2 had the highest correlation with that of S3. The SWAs of the S2 and S3 regions were significantly impacted by ecological water diversion projects.

The correlation between river loss and SWA in each subregion indicated a decreasing trend in the correlation between total river loss (YBZ-QL) and the SWA of the S1–S4 regions (Figure 9). This trend is expected, as S1, located in the upper reaches of the Tarim River, receives the highest inflow, and the flow gradually decreases along the river due to ecological water diversion adjustments. Runoff loss in the YBZ-WSM section had a greater impact on the SWA of the S1 region than on that of the S2 region. The WSM-AQK section exhibited the highest correlation with S3 and S4 regions in terms of SWA. The AQK-QL section experienced minimal river loss and had no significant impact on the SWA of S4, which mainly comprises the TLM and QL reservoirs. Consequently, the AQK-QL section, with fewer ecological water gates and controlled water volumes, exhibited lower river loss.
Figure 9

Correlations between SWAs in the MROTR and SWAs in each subregion.

Figure 9

Correlations between SWAs in the MROTR and SWAs in each subregion.

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Changes in open-surface water bodies due to climate and human factors

A detailed analysis of land use changes in the study area for the years 1990, 2000, 2010, and 2020 was conducted, with a focus on the impacts of climate change and land use on SWA (Figure 10). The findings are consistent with previous research (Xu et al. 2004; Zhang et al. 2010), showing no significant correlation between SWA in the Tarim River Basin and factors such as temperature, precipitation, and runoff. Instead, changes in SWA are primarily influenced by human activities, particularly land use practices, which indirectly affect the water cycle by altering surface conditions (Li et al. 2021). Further analysis revealed that during the EGCW phase, the proportion of cultivated land significantly increased, rising from 0.14% in 1990 to 3.60% in 2020. This expansion was particularly notable in the S3 and S4 regions along the banks of the Tarim River, where the construction of ecological gates and water diversion dikes curtailed flood overflow and converted more wasteland into farmland, aligning with previous research findings (Zhao et al. 2013; Li et al. 2022). Meanwhile, the proportion of grassland decreased from 55.75% in 1990 to 33.38% in 2020, a decline of over 20%, indicating severe grassland degradation. Some grasslands were likely converted to cropland or other uses, consistent with earlier studies (Zhao et al. 2013; Wang et al. 2021). In summary, while ecological gates and water management strategies have had a positive impact on SWA, human activities, particularly land use changes, have also played a significant role in influencing water resource dynamics in the Tarim River Basin.
Figure 10

Land use types in the MROTR from 1990 to 2020.

Figure 10

Land use types in the MROTR from 1990 to 2020.

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Comparison with previous studies

Currently, monitoring the dynamic changes in SWA using Landsat imagery and index threshold methods is the primary approach for studying open-surface water bodies (Pekel et al. 2016; Zou et al. 2018b; Wang et al. 2020). Although previous studies have proposed various indices to highlight water features (McFeeters 1996; Xu 2006; Wang et al. 2015; Fisher et al. 2016), their performance in mixed pixels in certain regions is not optimal, particularly for water extraction in arid environments. Therefore, some studies suggest establishing hybrid index rules between water indices and vegetation indices to address the errors in mixed pixels. Zou et al. (2017) proposed using a set of hybrid index rules to extract surface water bodies (using the rule of MNDWI > NDVI or MNDWI > EVI, and EVI < 0.1), which reduces the error of mixed pixels between water and other elements; this method has achieved promising results and has been widely applied by many scholars (Zou et al. 2018b; Zhou et al. 2019; Wang et al. 2020). Studies have shown that the simple and efficient hybrid index rule method for extracting water bodies is suitable for large-scale open-surface water body detection, as demonstrated in our MROTR study (Figures 4 and 5), this method effectively distinguishes between permanent and seasonal water bodies.

Accurate extraction and calculation of the SWA are crucial for ensuring the reliability of research results on the spatiotemporal characteristics of open-surface water bodies (Deng et al. 2020; Wang et al. 2020). In this study, all available Landsat images and hybrid index algorithms were utilized to calculate the annual water body frequency, defining water bodies with 25% < WIF ≤ 75% as seasonal and those with WIF > 75% as permanent (Zou et al. 2018b). The JRC-GSW dataset shows significant data gaps in specific years (before 1999), leading to anomalously reduced water areas in years such as 1997. The permanent water area in the JRC-GSW falls within the frequency thresholds of >65 and >75% (Xiao et al. 2024). Therefore, the SWA calculated in this study is smaller than that determined from the JRC-GSW data. This study validated the surface water extraction results of the 2019 Landsat time series data using high-resolution Sentinel-2 MSI imagery from 2019 to 2022 against the JRC dataset (Pekel et al. 2016). A confusion matrix was constructed to quantify the accuracy of water body extraction, with 670 samples correctly extracted, achieving an extraction accuracy of 93.71%. The classification results showed a kappa coefficient of 0.87 upon consistency testing (Table 2). Upon comparison, both the JRC dataset and the water bodies extracted in this study effectively depicted lakes and rivers. However, the details and noise in the results extracted in this study are more pronounced in smaller water bodies than in the water boundaries in the JRC data. The algorithm used in this study enabled more precise and comprehensive detection of changes in different types of open-surface water bodies, identifying more seasonal and small water bodies.

Impact of ecological engineering on SWA

The primary purpose of regulating irrigation with ecological gates along the Tarim River basin is to increase the water flow into the lower reaches of the river, thereby improving water supply conditions to protect and restore the natural vegetation within the control area. However, the available ecological water volume required to ensure the protection and restoration of natural vegetation varies with different incoming water volumes. Therefore, water transfer through ecological gates, a unique method of water resource allocation and ecological restoration along the Tarim River, requires an understanding of the impacts of eco-hydraulic projects on open-surface water bodies based on the movement and spatial distribution of water resources in ecological control areas. From 1990 to 2022, the spatial and temporal patterns of the open surface water (SWA) in the MROTR differed across three phases: the NEG phase, the EGC phase, and the EGCW phase. During the NEG phase, the annual SWA increased from 79.36 to 285.01 km2, with a change rate of 20.5 km2/year. In the EGC phase, the annual SWA decreased from 256.55 to 87.73 km2 in 2009, at a rate of −16.88 km2/year. During the EGCW phase, the annual SWA showed a significant increasing trend, with a change rate of 28.8 km2/year. These trends aligned with the annual runoff consumption data from the Yingbazha and Qiala hydrological stations from 1990 to 2022. In the NEG phase, the average annual runoff consumption in the MROTR exceeded 20 × 108 m3, with a considerable portion supplementing the P. euphratica forests outside the river channel through natural overflow. In the EGC phase, the river water could not overflow, reducing the average annual runoff consumption in the MROTR to 15 × 108 m3, showing a linear decline. In the EGCW phase, the orderly regulation of water through ecological gates for both agricultural and ecological purposes increased the average annual runoff consumption to 24 × 108 m3.

After 2010, the construction of water conveyance dikes and ecological gates in the Tarim River reduced ineffective overflow within 8 km of the riverbank, enabling long-distance lateral water transport. During normal water years, this increased the SWA within 23–35 km of the gate, while in high water years, the water transport distance increased to 40 km, with SWA extending 10–40 km from the gate. In these ecologically sensitive areas far from the river, water diversion through ecological gates created overflow conditions conducive to seedling growth (Ling et al. 2016). Previous studies, including Ling et al. (2016), Jiao et al. (2022), and Zhu et al. (2022), have shown that ecological water diversion supplements groundwater supplies and improves the growth conditions for vegetation in arid areas. In the MROTR, the construction of ecological water conveyance dikes reduced water usage and increased water transport efficiency. From 2000 to 2016, the cultivated area along the Tarim River increased by 4.12%, and water volume from 2011 to 2016 increased by 11.8% compared with 2000 to 2010 (Ling et al. 2019). Although water usage increased from 2000 to 2016, the proportion of water usage decreased by 33.4% after the construction of ecological water conveyance dikes (Ling et al. 2020). By improving the water supply and overflow conditions along the riverbanks, the construction of these dikes and ecological gates achieved suitable groundwater depths for vegetation growth (Ling et al. 2020). According to the river loss results of each subregion, the YBZ-WSM section accounted for 70.53% of the total river loss in the MROTR from 2000 to 2010, decreasing to 62% in the EGC and EGCW stages, indicating a reduction in water resource allocation in the S1 and S2 regions after the construction of eco-hydraulic projects. The WSM-QL section accounted for 29.47% of the total river loss in the MROTR from 2000 to 2010, increasing to 37.23% in the stages of completed water transfer embankment construction and ecological gate control. These data indicate that the construction of water transfer embankments and ecological gates is beneficial for reducing ineffective water loss, improving water resource utilization, and increasing water transfer to downstream river channels. The ecological water supply and overflow conditions for riparian forests should be improved constructing water conveyance dikes and ecological sluice gates on the banks of the Tarim River to produce a groundwater depth suitable for vegetation growth.

Impact of ecological engineering on resource allocation

Riparian ecosystems are particularly sensitive to hydrological changes caused by ecological water management and related engineering projects. An earlier study (Ling et al. 2015) noted that the Tarim River's two to three annual floods, lasting 15–20 days, help promote seed germination and seedling growth in desert riparian forests. Therefore, real-time groundwater depth data on both sides of the river could be used to maintain groundwater depth at levels favorable for the natural vegetation's growth in the study area, thereby adjusting the flood discharge regime of ecological gates. The latest research (Li et al. 2024) proposed an ecological rotation irrigation model tailored to the ecological gate control zones and vegetation gradient patterns and evaluated the spatial match between the layout of ecological gates and ecological water requirements. However, there have been few studies in the Tarim River Basin that use more precise water extraction standards combined with the power of geospatial cloud computing.

Moreover, compared with previous studies, this research emphasizes the importance of using precise water extraction standards and the power of geospatial cloud computing in the context of ecological water management projects. These technologies offer greater accuracy in understanding the impact of ecological gates and water diversion dikes on open-surface water bodies. Although this study did not analyze the impact of SWA on the ecological environment by integrating ecological indicators and vegetation gradient patterns, existing research indicates that ecological water diversion positively influences vegetation restoration in the Tarim River Basin. Therefore, the findings of this study provide essential scientific support for ecological water resource allocation in arid regions and serve as a valuable reference for water resource management in other similar arid basins.

The mixed index method employed in this study demonstrated excellent performance in extracting open-surface water bodies in the MROTR, achieving an overall accuracy of 93.71% and a Kappa coefficient of 0.87. These results indicate that the mixed index method is highly reliable and practical for monitoring open-surface water bodies in arid regions. Between 1990 and 2022, there was a general increase in the open SWA in the MROTR, particularly after 2009. This trend suggests that ecological gates and water diversion dikes have played a significant role in improving water resource distribution and utilization efficiency, especially in the S2 and S4 regions, where ineffective overflow was substantially reduced, leading to enhanced water transfer efficiency. The study reveals the spatiotemporal distribution patterns of water resources in the MROTR, which is crucial for optimizing water resource allocation and improving utilization efficiency.

However, the spatial and temporal limitations of this study, coupled with the potential errors in water body extraction under extreme arid or complex terrain conditions, highlight the need for future research. Expanding the temporal and spatial scope of the dataset and optimizing algorithms to address varying topographic and climatic conditions are necessary. Additionally, integrating ecological indicators and climate models would provide a deeper understanding of the long-term impacts of ecological gates on water resources and ecosystem restoration, thereby facilitating the development of more effective water resource management and ecological restoration strategies.

This work was financially supported by grants from the Major Science and Technology Projects of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region [grant number 2023A02002-1].

J.W.: Conceptualization, Methodology, Data curation, Writing – original draft. F.G.: Writing – review and editing, Supervision, Funding acquisition. B.H.: Writing – review and editing, Supervision. K.L.: Writing – review and editing. H.X.: Writing – review and editing, Supervision, Funding acquisition.

All relevant data are included in the paper or its Supplementary Information.

The authors declare there is no conflict.

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