Sensitivity of streamflow simulations to changes in temperature and precipitation were evaluated for a small basin (A ≡ 53 km2) characterized by low evapotranspiration and high conversion of precipitation into streamflow. Using a calibrated HSPF model, such sensitivities were studied for temperature increases up to 4° C and precipitation fluctuations of ± 10%. Temperature increases barely affected annual streamflow, led to larger and earlier winter runoff when precipitation was stored in the snowpack, and increased winter/spring streamflow peaks. Effects of precipitation fluctuations were more direct - annual and seasonal streamflow fluctuations were directly proportional to precipitation changes and monthly peaks increased about twice as much as precipitation.
Research Article|August 01 1992
Sensitivity of Streamflow Simulation to Changes in Climatic Inputs
H.Y.F. Ng, J. Marsalek; Sensitivity of Streamflow Simulation to Changes in Climatic Inputs. Hydrology Research 1 August 1992; 23 (4): 257–272. doi: https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.1992.0018
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