Variations in time series of sum of negative degree-days, number of days with ice, date of ice break-up and maximum ice thickness on the Baltic Sea along the Estonian coast have been examined within context of the atmospheric circulation above the North Atlantic. It was found out that 20 – 50 % of ice conditions along the Estonian coast might be explained by the state of the NAO winter index. However, correlation coefficients between time series of ice conditions and the NAO winter index varies with time; moving correlation coefficient can reach -0.98.

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