In this study, a multi-scale non-linear model based on coupling a discrete wavelet transform (DWT) and the second-order Volterra model, i.e. the wavelet Volterra coupled (WVC) model, is applied for daily inflow forecasting at Krishna Agraharam, Krishna River, India. The relative performance of the WVC model was compared with regular artificial neural networks (ANN), wavelet-artificial neural networks (WA-ANN) models and other baseline models such as auto-regressive moving average with exogenous variables (ARMAX) for lead times of 1–5 days. The models were applied for the forecasting of daily streamflow at Krishna Agraharam Station at Krishna River. The WVC performed very well, especially when compared with the WA-ANN model for lead times of 4 and 5 days. The results indicate that the WVC model is a promising alternative to the other traditional models for short-term flow forecasting.
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Research Article|
January 10 2013
Wavelets-based non-linear model for real-time daily flow forecasting in Krishna River
R. Maheswaran;
1Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi 110016, India
E-mail: maheswaran27@yahoo.co.in
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Rakesh Khosa
Rakesh Khosa
1Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi 110016, India
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Journal of Hydroinformatics (2013) 15 (3): 1022–1041.
Article history
Received:
August 14 2012
Accepted:
November 14 2012
Citation
R. Maheswaran, Rakesh Khosa; Wavelets-based non-linear model for real-time daily flow forecasting in Krishna River. Journal of Hydroinformatics 1 July 2013; 15 (3): 1022–1041. doi: https://doi.org/10.2166/hydro.2013.135
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