Prioritizing watersheds is critical for effective river basin management, as it guides resource allocation, decision-making, and monitoring to enable long-term comprehensive natural resource management. The present study employs multi-analytical approaches to prioritize 23 sub-watersheds in the Shilabati River Basin (SRB), West Bengal, India, with the primary objective of identifying areas most vulnerable to erosion and flood susceptibility for effective conservation. Integrating cutting-edge methods, i.e. Remote Sensing, Geographic Information Systems, the research analyzes the basin's Geo-morphological, Geo-hydrological, and Geo environmental characteristics like Morphometric Analysis (MA), Principal Component Analysis (PCA), Hypsometric Analysis (HA), ARC-SWPT, and Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) Analysis. MA's 12 morphometric parameters were ranked to prioritize sub-watersheds, while PCA was employed to rank sub-watersheds based on highly correlated parameters. HA assessed erosion and deposition stages providing insights into landform evolution, and LULC analysis depicted land use patterns and their impact on soil-water conservation. Results show SRB is a fifth-order stream, covering 3500 km². Sub-watersheds were identified into three priority levels: low,moderate, and high along with ranking. Seven sub-watersheds (SID 3,6,7,8,9,11,12) covering 1505.05 km² are highly susceptible to erosion, four sub-watersheds (SID-1,10,18,20) covering 484.02km² are least susceptible, and remaining SID's (1510.98km²) show moderate susceptibility. High-priority sub-watersheds can inform land use management and conservation strategies to prevent flooding and soil erosion while conserving land for sustainable resource management.

  • The research helps in identifying the critical sub-watersheds that are of high risk due to high soil erosion, runoff, and flood susceptibility.

  • This study combined morphometric parameters (stream order and bifurcation ratio) with hydrological data to assess sub-watershed characteristics and prioritize conservation areas.

  • The study suggested watershed-specific conservation plans based on the level of priority of each watershed.

Watershed prioritization has become a pivotal framework for identifying regions susceptible to environmental degradation and formulating effective conservation strategies. This process facilitates the efficient allocation of limited resources to address soil erosion, sedimentation, and hydrological challenges, which are critical for sustainable natural resource management (Shrimali et al. 2001; Vittala et al. 2004). The strategic significance of this methodology lies in its ability to integrate geomorphological, hydrological, and land use parameters to prioritize areas for soil and water conservation interventions (Mishra & Nagarajan 2010). Effective management of watersheds is essential for mitigating environmental degradation, promoting balanced development, and ensuring long-term ecosystem health (Kudnar & Rajasekhar 2020).

The morphometry of a watershed is an essential component of hydrological analysis, as it provides a quantitative understanding of topographic relief, drainage patterns, and sediment transport dynamics (Das & Das 2024a, 2024b). Morphometric parameters, such as drainage density, bifurcation ratio, and stream frequency, play a critical role in assessing flood susceptibility and soil erosion potential (Sreedevi et al. 2009; Maddamsetty & Pawar 2023). Recent advancements in remote sensing (RS) and geographic information systems (GIS) have revolutionized watershed analysis by enabling the rapid and accurate assessment of morphometric attributes across diverse landscapes (Grohmann 2004; Kouli et al. 2007; Kaya et al. 2019; Yadav et al. 2024). These tools have become indispensable for delineating watershed boundaries, extracting drainage networks, and prioritizing sub-watersheds based on their vulnerability to environmental stress (Patel et al. 2015; Dey et al. 2025).

The Shilabati River Basin (SRB), located in West Bengal, India, exemplifies a region facing acute environmental and socio-economic challenges. Spanning approximately 3,500 km2, the basin is characterized by a complex geomorphology, varying from the undulating terrain of the Chotanagpur Plateau to the alluvial plains of its lower reaches (Shit & Maiti 2012). The basin experiences significant soil erosion, resulting in an annual sediment load of approximately 2.5 million tons, which adversely affects water quality and agricultural productivity. Agricultural runoff exacerbates water pollution, with nearly 70% of the river exceeding permissible pollution thresholds. Frequent flooding events further compound the region's vulnerabilities, displacing millions of people and causing extensive damage to infrastructure and livelihoods.

Despite the pressing environmental concerns in the SRB, existing studies have largely focused on singular approaches to watershed prioritization, often relying on standard geomorphological or hydrological assessments (Godif & Manjunatha 2022). These studies fail to capture the intricate interplay of factors influencing soil erosion and flood susceptibility, particularly in ungauged sub-basins where data scarcity limits the application of traditional models (Das & Das 2024a, 2024b). Hybrid methodologies, such as the Nash-GIUH model, have demonstrated potential for addressing these challenges by integrating geomorphological and hydrological parameters to enhance flood risk assessment (Das & Das 2024a, 2024b). However, the application of such comprehensive approaches remains limited in the context of the SRB.

This study addresses these gaps by adopting a multi-analytical framework that combines morphometric analysis (MA), principal component analysis (PCA), the sub-watershed prioritization tool (SWPT), land use/land cover (LULC) analysis, and hypsometric analysis (HA). By integrating these methodologies, the research aims to provide a holistic understanding of the hydro-geomorphological dynamics of the SRB and prioritize its sub-watersheds based on their susceptibility to erosion and flood risks. MA serves as the foundation for quantifying watershed characteristics, while PCA reduces data redundancy and identifies critical parameters influencing prioritization (Shekar et al. 2023). The SWPT tool automates the prioritization process by synthesizing morphometric and hydrological data, ensuring accuracy and efficiency (Rahmati et al. 2019). LULC analysis captures the spatial dynamics of land use changes and their implications for soil and water conservation (Biswas & Chakraborty 2016), while HA provides insights into the erosion stages and landscape evolution of the sub-watersheds (Pike & Wilson 1971; Willgoose & Hancock 1998).

The novelty of this study lies in its synergistic integration of multiple analytical approaches, which enables a comprehensive and data-driven prioritization of sub-watersheds in the SRB. The study also emphasizes the importance of incorporating real-time climate change scenarios, socio-economic factors, and community participation into watershed management frameworks to ensure long-term sustainability. By leveraging the strengths of RS and GIS technologies, the research provides a replicable model for prioritizing sub-watersheds in other regions facing similar challenges.

This study seeks to revolutionize the watershed prioritization process by combining advanced analytical techniques to address the unique environmental challenges of the SRB. The findings are expected to contribute significantly to the field of watershed management, offering practical insights for policymakers, planners, and conservationists in their efforts to mitigate environmental degradation and promote sustainable resource management.

Study area

The SRB, a vital component of the Ganga River system, is situated in the eastern Indian state of West Bengal. Spanning approximately 3,500 km2, the basin is nestled between 22°36′ to 23°12′ north latitudes and 86°38′ to 87°43′ east longitudes (Figure 1). On the map of India, the SRB can be pinpointed in the western part of West Bengal, covering areas across Purulia, Bankura, West Medinipur, and Hooghly districts. This strategic location underscores the importance of the SRB within the larger geographical context of India.
Figure 1

Geographical map of SRB.

Figure 1

Geographical map of SRB.

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The SRB is a distinct hydrological unit, functioning as a sub-basin of the Rupnarayan River, which ultimately drains into the Ganges River (Shit & Maiti 2012). The SRB's geographical characteristics are marked by undulating topography, transitioning to the Chotanagpur plateau fringe in the lower basin, with elevations ranging from −4 m to 230 m. The basin's terrain is complex, with significant spatial differences in meteorological and hydrological elements. The Shilabati River flows eastward, and its left tributaries are predominantly first-order streams trending southeast. The SRB's drainage pattern ranges from dendritic to sub-dendritic, influenced by lithology and regional land slope.

The SRB is characterized by a sub-humid tropical climate, with average annual rainfall ranging from 100 to 150 cm and typical high temperatures ranging from 32° to 37 °C. The area is covered with tropical dry deciduous forests, and flood-related economic damage and destruction are prevalent, notably in the regions of Ghatal, Banka, and Khirpai (Mukherjee et al. 2024). Land degradation varies in intensity, impacting isolated lateritic tracts throughout the study area. The geological composition varies, with gneiss and schist dominating the upper basin and younger alluvium prevalent in the lower basin (Bera et al. 2020). Gongoni Danga, located on the right bank of the Shilai River near Garbeta in West Medinipur, exhibits typical lateritic mesoscale Badlands (Bandyopadhyay 1988). Population pressure, LULC changes, and development initiatives are exerting major effects on the basin's geoenvironmental landscape. More than a million people are supported by agriculture in the middle and lower parts of the watershed's floodplain, which comprises 23 CD blocks spanning four districts.

Datasets

In the present study, Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) digital elevation model (DEM) collected from USGS Earth Explorer (https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov/) was used to delineate drainage networks, generate morphometric parameters, and compute hypsometric curves. MA has been executed to analyse the sub-watersheds of the SRB. The LULC map was prepared with the help of Landsat-9 image (30 m resolution) employing supervised classification techniques in ArcGIS. Using ArcGIS 10.7.1 software, the SRB was divided into 23 sub-watersheds based on geomorphological, geohydrological, and geoenvironmental features of the watershed. Sampling sites (23 sub-watersheds × 5 sampling sites = 115 sites) were strategically chosen from the SRB that exhibited notable inundation, surface water fluctuations, and a history of intense flood events. A field survey of 115 sites was conducted to evaluate the flood-prone areas, sedimentation hotspots, and erosion susceptibility, ensuring accuracy in prioritization during the flood season, 2024. The study employed XLSTAT for PCA, and the SWPT for automated prioritization based on morphometric and hydrological factors. Priority with the integration of different analytical techniques, including morphometric analyses (MA, PCA, and SWPT), a humanistic assessment (LULC), and relief analytics (hypsometric curves), with a uniform weightage scheme, constitutes a unique approach to soil watershed conservation in this study, as illustrated in the methodological flowchart (Figure 2).
Figure 2

Flowchart of methodology.

Figure 2

Flowchart of methodology.

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Methods

The study utilized a multi-analytical framework to prioritize 23 sub-watersheds within the SRB based on morphometric, hypsometric, hydrological, and land use characteristics. Each method addressed specific objectives, ensuring a holistic evaluation of the basin's conservation needs.

Morphometric analysis

MA is a vital tool in hydrological studies, essential for managing and developing river basins (Shekar et al. 2023). In this research, MA provided a quantitative assessment of the SRB's drainage network and topography (Figure 3). Twelve morphometric parameters were meticulously chosen and categorized into four distinct aspects: linear, areal, relief, and shape (Table 1). These parameters, including drainage density (Dd), bifurcation ratio (Rb), and stream frequency (Fs), were selected for their ability to capture watershed dynamics and their impact on soil erosion. Shape parameters, in particular, indirectly influence erosion, with lower values indicating higher erosion and vice versa (Javed et al. 2011). The compound parameter (Cp) method was used to rank sub-watersheds, with lower Cp values indicating higher susceptibility to erosion and flooding. For instance, high Rb and Dd values reflect higher runoff potential and greater flood risk, while low shape parameter values suggest increased vulnerability to erosion (Sreedevi et al. 2009). Sub-watersheds were prioritized based on average parameter values, with lower values indicating higher priority.
Table 1

Morphometric parameters and their standardized mathematical methods

Sl. no.ParameterFormulaDescriptionReferences
Linear aspect 
 1 Stream order (uHierarchical rank u has been calculated through the use of Strahler formula in Arc GIS 10.7.1 Strahler (1964)  
 2 Stream no. (Nu) Nu = number of streams of a particular order ‘u’ N has been calculated for each order (u) through the use of Strahler formula in ArcGIS 10.7.1 Strahler (1964)  
 3 Bifurcation ratio (RbRb = (Nu/Nu + 1); where, Nu =number of streams of a particular order ‘u’, Nu +1 = number of streams of next higher order ‘u + 1’ Rb has been calculated as the ratio of the total number of streams in a given order to its next higher-order Schumm (1956)  
 4 Mean bifurcation ratio (Rbm) MRb = (Rb1+ Rb2 + …+ Rbn)/n Rbm has been calculated as the mean of Rb of all order Schumm (1956)  
 Basin length (LL = 1.312 × Area0.568 Outer extent of entire Basin Length Nookaratnam et al. (2005)  
 5 Stream length (LuLu = total length of streams (km) of a particular order ‘u’ Lu has been calculated through the use of the Horton formula in 10.7.1 Horton (1945)  
 6 Mean stream length (LumLum = Lu/Nu; where, Lu = total length of streams (km) of a particular order ‘u’, Nu = total number of streams of a particular order ‘u’ Lum has been calculated as the ratio of the total length of streams of each order (Lu) to its total number of streams (NuHorton (1945)  
 7 Stream length ratio (Rl) Rl = Lum/Lum − 1; where, Lu = mean stream length of a particular order ‘u’, Lu −1 = mean stream length of next higher order ‘u − 1’ Rl has been calculated as the ratio of Lum in a giver order to its next higher order Horton (1945)  
 8 Stream frequency (FsFs = N/A; where, N = total number of streams of a given basin, A = total area of basin (km2Fs has been calculated as the ratio of the number of streams per unit area of the basin Horton (1945)  
Shape aspect 
 9 Form factor (FfFf =A/L2; where, A = area of the basin (km2), L = basin length (km) Ff has been calculated as the ratio between the basin area to the square of basin length Horton (1945)  
 10 Circularity ratio (RcRc = 4πA/P2; where, A = area of the basin (km2), P = outer boundary of a drainage basin (km) Rc has been calculated as the area of the basin to the area of the circle having the same circumference as the perimeter of the basin Strahler (1964)  
 11 Elongation ratio (ReRe = Re =D/L = 1.128√A/L
Re is the elongation ratio, A is the area of the basin, and L is the maximum length in the basin 
Re has been calculated as the ratio of the area of the basin to the maximum length of the river in a basin. It is a dimensionless property that measures the shape of a river basin (Schumm 1956
 12 Compactness coefficient (CcCc = 0.2821 × P/A0.5
Where, A = area of the basin, P = basin perimeter 
It is calculated as one-fourth of the ratio between the perimeter of a shape (P) and the square root of twice the product of π (pi) and the area of the shape (AHorton (1945)  
Areal aspect 
 13 CCM CCM = 1/Dd; where, Dd = drainage density CCM has been calculated with the reciprocal of drainage density Strahler (1964)  
 15 Drainage density (DdDd = L/A; where, L = length of streams (km), A = Basin area (km2Dd has been calculated as the length of stream channel per unit area of basin Horton (1945)  
 16 Drainage intensity (DiDi =Fs/Dd where, Fs = stream frequency, and Dd = drainage density It provides information about the density and pattern of the drainage network in relation to the total area. Faniran (1968)  
 16 Drainage texture (DTDT = Dd * Fs, where, Dd = drainage density (km/km2), Fs = stream frequency (numbers/km2Rt has been calculated as the product of drainage density and stream frequency Smith (1950)  
 17 Texture ratio (RtRt = LTotal/P
where, LTotal = total length of crenulations in the basin contour, P = the length of the perimeter of the drainage basin 
It is the ratio of the maximum number of crenulations in the basin contour to the length of the perimeter of drainage basin Horton (1945)  
 18 Length of overland flow (LgLg =1/2Dd
Where D represents the maximum depth of water and d represents the average slope of the land surface 
Lg is equal to half the product of D and d, where D represents the maximum depth of water and d represents the average slope of the land surface Horton (1945)  
Relief aspect 
 19 Relative relief (HH = Rr, where R = highest relief, r = lowest relief H has been calculated after maximum vertical range between highest and lowest point of any basin Schumm (1956), Smith (1950)  
 20 Relief ratio (RrRr = (H/L max); where H = relative relief (m), L = length of basin (m) Rr has been calculated after dividing the relative relief to the total length of basin Schumm (1956)  
 21 Dissection index (DiDi = H/R; H = relative relief (m), R = absolute maximum relief (m) Di has been calculated as the ratio between relative relief to the absolute relief in per unit area of basin Schumm (1956)  
 22 Ruggedness number (Rn) Rn = R × Dd R = the relief or vertical distance between the highest and lowest points, and Dd = drainage density is used to quantify the ruggedness or roughness of a terrain or landscape. It provides a measure of the variation in elevation and the density of drainage channels within a specific area Strahler (1964), Horton (1945)  
 23 Ruggedness index (RiRi = Dd * H/1,000; where Dd = drainage density, H = relative relief Ri has been calculated as the product of drainage density and relative relief Schumm (1956)  
 24 Melton ruggedness number (Mrn) Mrn = R/A(1/2)
R = relief, A = area 
It quantifies the ratio of relief to the square root of the area Melton (1965)  
 25 Gradient ratio (GrGr = (ab)/L Where, a = elevation at source, b = elevation at mouth, L = longest axis in kilometre  Sreedevi et al. (2005)  
Sl. no.ParameterFormulaDescriptionReferences
Linear aspect 
 1 Stream order (uHierarchical rank u has been calculated through the use of Strahler formula in Arc GIS 10.7.1 Strahler (1964)  
 2 Stream no. (Nu) Nu = number of streams of a particular order ‘u’ N has been calculated for each order (u) through the use of Strahler formula in ArcGIS 10.7.1 Strahler (1964)  
 3 Bifurcation ratio (RbRb = (Nu/Nu + 1); where, Nu =number of streams of a particular order ‘u’, Nu +1 = number of streams of next higher order ‘u + 1’ Rb has been calculated as the ratio of the total number of streams in a given order to its next higher-order Schumm (1956)  
 4 Mean bifurcation ratio (Rbm) MRb = (Rb1+ Rb2 + …+ Rbn)/n Rbm has been calculated as the mean of Rb of all order Schumm (1956)  
 Basin length (LL = 1.312 × Area0.568 Outer extent of entire Basin Length Nookaratnam et al. (2005)  
 5 Stream length (LuLu = total length of streams (km) of a particular order ‘u’ Lu has been calculated through the use of the Horton formula in 10.7.1 Horton (1945)  
 6 Mean stream length (LumLum = Lu/Nu; where, Lu = total length of streams (km) of a particular order ‘u’, Nu = total number of streams of a particular order ‘u’ Lum has been calculated as the ratio of the total length of streams of each order (Lu) to its total number of streams (NuHorton (1945)  
 7 Stream length ratio (Rl) Rl = Lum/Lum − 1; where, Lu = mean stream length of a particular order ‘u’, Lu −1 = mean stream length of next higher order ‘u − 1’ Rl has been calculated as the ratio of Lum in a giver order to its next higher order Horton (1945)  
 8 Stream frequency (FsFs = N/A; where, N = total number of streams of a given basin, A = total area of basin (km2Fs has been calculated as the ratio of the number of streams per unit area of the basin Horton (1945)  
Shape aspect 
 9 Form factor (FfFf =A/L2; where, A = area of the basin (km2), L = basin length (km) Ff has been calculated as the ratio between the basin area to the square of basin length Horton (1945)  
 10 Circularity ratio (RcRc = 4πA/P2; where, A = area of the basin (km2), P = outer boundary of a drainage basin (km) Rc has been calculated as the area of the basin to the area of the circle having the same circumference as the perimeter of the basin Strahler (1964)  
 11 Elongation ratio (ReRe = Re =D/L = 1.128√A/L
Re is the elongation ratio, A is the area of the basin, and L is the maximum length in the basin 
Re has been calculated as the ratio of the area of the basin to the maximum length of the river in a basin. It is a dimensionless property that measures the shape of a river basin (Schumm 1956
 12 Compactness coefficient (CcCc = 0.2821 × P/A0.5
Where, A = area of the basin, P = basin perimeter 
It is calculated as one-fourth of the ratio between the perimeter of a shape (P) and the square root of twice the product of π (pi) and the area of the shape (AHorton (1945)  
Areal aspect 
 13 CCM CCM = 1/Dd; where, Dd = drainage density CCM has been calculated with the reciprocal of drainage density Strahler (1964)  
 15 Drainage density (DdDd = L/A; where, L = length of streams (km), A = Basin area (km2Dd has been calculated as the length of stream channel per unit area of basin Horton (1945)  
 16 Drainage intensity (DiDi =Fs/Dd where, Fs = stream frequency, and Dd = drainage density It provides information about the density and pattern of the drainage network in relation to the total area. Faniran (1968)  
 16 Drainage texture (DTDT = Dd * Fs, where, Dd = drainage density (km/km2), Fs = stream frequency (numbers/km2Rt has been calculated as the product of drainage density and stream frequency Smith (1950)  
 17 Texture ratio (RtRt = LTotal/P
where, LTotal = total length of crenulations in the basin contour, P = the length of the perimeter of the drainage basin 
It is the ratio of the maximum number of crenulations in the basin contour to the length of the perimeter of drainage basin Horton (1945)  
 18 Length of overland flow (LgLg =1/2Dd
Where D represents the maximum depth of water and d represents the average slope of the land surface 
Lg is equal to half the product of D and d, where D represents the maximum depth of water and d represents the average slope of the land surface Horton (1945)  
Relief aspect 
 19 Relative relief (HH = Rr, where R = highest relief, r = lowest relief H has been calculated after maximum vertical range between highest and lowest point of any basin Schumm (1956), Smith (1950)  
 20 Relief ratio (RrRr = (H/L max); where H = relative relief (m), L = length of basin (m) Rr has been calculated after dividing the relative relief to the total length of basin Schumm (1956)  
 21 Dissection index (DiDi = H/R; H = relative relief (m), R = absolute maximum relief (m) Di has been calculated as the ratio between relative relief to the absolute relief in per unit area of basin Schumm (1956)  
 22 Ruggedness number (Rn) Rn = R × Dd R = the relief or vertical distance between the highest and lowest points, and Dd = drainage density is used to quantify the ruggedness or roughness of a terrain or landscape. It provides a measure of the variation in elevation and the density of drainage channels within a specific area Strahler (1964), Horton (1945)  
 23 Ruggedness index (RiRi = Dd * H/1,000; where Dd = drainage density, H = relative relief Ri has been calculated as the product of drainage density and relative relief Schumm (1956)  
 24 Melton ruggedness number (Mrn) Mrn = R/A(1/2)
R = relief, A = area 
It quantifies the ratio of relief to the square root of the area Melton (1965)  
 25 Gradient ratio (GrGr = (ab)/L Where, a = elevation at source, b = elevation at mouth, L = longest axis in kilometre  Sreedevi et al. (2005)  
Figure 3

(a) and (b) Stream orders relation with stream number and stream length.

Figure 3

(a) and (b) Stream orders relation with stream number and stream length.

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Principal component analysis

PCA was employed in this study to reduce data redundancy and identify the major factors affecting watershed processes in the SRB. By analyzing a set of correlated variables, including stream length, slope gradient, and drainage intensity, PCA identified a smaller set of uncorrelated variables, called principal components. Using XLSTAT software, 12 morphometric parameters were reduced to four key components, with each component strongly linked to one highly correlated parameter (Shekar et al. 2023). This statistical approach eliminated redundancy while retaining critical information for prioritization. The PCA results were then used to rank sub-watersheds based on relief and linear parameters, with the highest scores ranked first (Supplementary Figure 1). Conversely, sub-watersheds with the lowest shape parameter scores were ranked first. Finally, they were grouped into high, medium, and low susceptibility categories based on their Cp results, with those having higher PCA scores, indicating higher soil erosion risk, prioritized for conservation.

ARC-SWPT analysis

The SWPT is an automated extension (Rahmati et al. 2019) in ArcGIS software that prioritizes sub-watersheds for soil and water conservation based on 12 factors including morphometric, topographic, and hydrological parameters, using rational methods (Abdulkareem et al. 2018). The SWPT tool, generates 12 key parameters – stream frequency (Fs), bifurcation ratio (Rb), form factor (Rf), elongation ratio (Re), circularity ratio (Rc), drainage density (D), texture ratio (Rt), compactness coefficient (Cc), constant of channel maintenance (C), topographic wetness index, stream power index, and sediment transport index (STI) – from a high-resolution DEM. SWPT uses an automated weighted sum analysis (WSA) to rank hydrological units, assigning weights based on statistical correlations to determine the importance of each factor (Figure 4). The prioritization formula (Aher et al. 2014) is defined as follows:
where Wi is the weight of each parameter and Wi is the corresponding value.
Figure 4

Correlation matrix of morphometric parameters.

Figure 4

Correlation matrix of morphometric parameters.

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SWPT offers efficient and accessible analysis of data, avoiding shortcomings of the traditional methods. Sub-watersheds are ranked by Cp values, with lower values indicating higher susceptibility (Rahmati et al. 2019). This data can be used with machine learning algorithms for prioritization and sustainable management practices.

Land use and land cover analysis

This study investigates the impact of LULC on the soil and water resources of the SRB and proposes prioritization strategies. LULC analysis was conducted using Landsat-9 imagery, and processed through a supervised classification method to derive six distinct land use classes: agricultural land, barren land, plantation, mixed grazing land, built-up areas, and water bodies. The analysis revealed that the region is predominantly forested, followed by agricultural land. Sub-watersheds dominated by built-up areas were ranked as a higher priority due to increased runoff and reduced infiltration, while forested areas received lower ranks for their conservation benefits. The analysis allocated a rank of 1 to sub-watersheds with the highest built-up area and similarly ranked other parameters, with the highest values receiving rank 1 for built-up areas and the lowest values receiving rank 1 for trees, crops, and rangeland parameters (Biswas & Chakraborty 2016). Compound parameter (Cp) values obtained by the above process were used to categorize sub-watersheds into three susceptibility groups: high, medium, and low.

Hypsometry analysis

The elevation-relief ratio method was applied to compute the hypsometric integral (HI) values, derived from SRTM-DEM data, to determine the stage of landform evolution (Pike & Wilson 1971). Using the hypsometric curve, the watershed is categorized into three phases: old, mature, and young. The maximum HI value is ranked as 1, and so on. Sub-watersheds were classified as: high, medium, and low categories based on the Cp (compound parameter) values.

Validation and sensitivity analysis

The research employed a robust validation process to assess the accuracy of predicted risk zones. Sampling sites were systematically selected from the entire basin, informed by historical flood data and concurrent erosivity evidence. The prioritization results were then validated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, comparing field-verified 2024 flood data with predicted priority zones. The area under the curve (AUC) score of 0.797 confirmed the reliability of the framework. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis was conducted to test the influence of parameter weights, ensuring robustness and minimizing biases in the prioritization process.

The curve illustrates the trade-off between false-negative and false-positive rates at various cut-off values, with false-positive rate (FPR) or specificity and true-positive rate (TPR) or sensitivity values represented on the x-axis and y-axis, respectively.

TPR signifies correctly predicted attribute descriptions, while FPR indicates the percentage of misclassified positive cases (middle/high attributes). The value of AUC lies between 0 and 1. Similarly, the values of (0.9–1), (0.8–0.9), (0.7–0.8), (0.6–0.7), and (0.5–0.6) AUC represent perfect, very good, good, moderate, and weak respectively for model validation.

The multi-method approach employed in this study effectively addressed the research objectives. MA and PCA provided quantitative insights into erosion and hydrological dynamics, identifying high-risk sub-watersheds. The SWPT automated prioritization, enhancing efficiency in conservation planning. LULC analysis and HA offered valuable perspectives on human-environment interactions and landscape evolution. Finally, validation of the results ensured credibility, bridging field data with analytical outputs. This integrated methodology facilitated a comprehensive understanding of the SRB's dynamics, providing a robust foundation for subsequent analysis and interpretation.

Prioritization of sub-watersheds based on MA

In the present research work, MA was performed on linear, areal, relief, and shape parameters using mathematical modelling.

Linear aspects

SRB was assessed using Strahler's (1964) stream ordering methodology, classifying it as a fifth-order stream divided into 23 sub-watersheds. Stream order, a primary stage in quantitative drainage watershed assessment, reveals the hierarchical structure of the drainage network. The SRB's stream ordering follows Horton's (1945) laws of stream numbers, where the stream number (Nu) represents the total number of streams in each order. The study found that Salbani has the maximum stream number (76), while Daspur-I has the minimum (7) (Table 2). Watersheds with more streams experience higher runoff and peak flow rates. The sub-watersheds exhibit varying stream numbers and lengths, with Salbani having the longest streams and Daspur-I the shortest (Figure 3). The bifurcation ratio (Rb), a relief and dissection index, varies across regions, with Garbeta-III exhibiting the highest Rb, indicating a highly complex and branched stream network. In contrast, Daspur-II and Lakshmisagar have the lowest Rb, indicating a simpler and less hierarchical stream network (Table 2). High-priority sub-watersheds, such as Salbani, exhibit high bifurcation ratios (Rb = 4.67) and stream frequencies (Fs = 5.91 km2), reflecting a branched drainage network and rapid runoff potential. These characteristics indicate high vulnerability to soil erosion and sediment transport. Conversely, low-priority sub-watersheds, such as Daspur II (Rb = 2.13, Fs = 2.71 km2), are less prone to hydrological stress. Practical management interventions include checking dams and vegetative barriers in high Rb areas to reduce peak discharge and sediment transport.

Table 2

Linear aspects and relation of stream order and stream length

Sub-watershed ID (SID)Sub-watershed Name (SWN)Basin Area (km2)Basin Perimeter (km)Basin Length (L) in KmStream order wise stream number (Nu)
Drainage Stream FrequencyTotal Stream Length in Km (Lu)Mean Stream length in Km (Lum)Mean Stream Length Ratio AverageBifurcation Ratio (Rb)Mean Bifurcation Ratio (Rbm)
1st2nd3rd4th5thTotal
Daspur – II 86.06 42.25 16.48 10   15 0.21 32.02 10.97 0.44 2.50 0.63 
Daspur – I 29.21 27.37 8.92   0.27 10.71 6.06 1.13 4.00 1.00 
Ghatal 86.04 41.52 20.25 10   15 0.26 38.37 18.52 0.59 9.25 2.31 
Keshpur 49.91 39.94 12.09  13 0.44 32.83 16.43 10.67 7.00 1.75 
Chandrakona Town 289.61 87.17 32.83 26  35 0.17 151.01 27.63 1.09 9.33 2.33 
Chandrakona – II 110.53 68.23 19.00 13    14 0.22 57.28 32.67 3.73 13.00 3.25 
Chandrakona – I 270.39 109.01 31.57 24  30 0.19 135.15 48.42 0.46 10.00 2.50 
Salbani 444.55 123.81 41.88 62 10  76 0.27 219.16 51.06 2.31 12.53 3.13 
Garbeta – III 358.74 113.96 37.07 47   56 0.25 170.47 46.47 2.43 13.88 3.47 
10 Garbeta – I 114.58 52.33 19.39 11   15 0.19 57.57 20.99 0.46 3.67 0.92 
11 Vishnupur 113.60 49.67 19.29 16  22 0.28 52.41 18.94 1.55 8.00 2.00 
12 Amdangra 121.20 50.75 20.02 17  22 0.29 55.93 19.87 1.59 8.67 2.17 
13 Garbeta – II 134.09 54.39 21.20 15  24 0.25 70.20 19.58 0.36 4.67 1.17 
14 Sarenga 136.75 52.56 21.44 17   22 0.23 63.14 18.94 1.32 8.25 2.06 
15 Barisol 24.40 23.09 8.05  0.53 12.34 7.99 2.89 3.50 0.88 
16 Simplapal 139.00 61.21 21.64 16  23 0.26 72.37 17.10 1.38 7.83 1.96 
17 Onda 109.43 47.50 18.89 16  23 0.32 56.55 18.06 1.37 8.00 2.00 
18 Lakshmisagar 123.68 48.25 16.48 17  23 0.29 61.00 25.98 2.00 2.50 0.63 
19 Taldangra 148.89 58.83 22.50 18   23 0.24 76.91 22.30 1.40 8.50 2.13 
20 Khatra 159.70 63.96 23.41 21   25 0.28 84.63 8.88 0.69 7.00 1.75 
21 Indpur 134.15 57.92 21.20 16   20 0.22 66.49 17.44 1.04 8.33 2.08 
22 Hirabandh 161.80 62.11 23.58 18  27 0.24 83.88 19.67 1.14 8.00 2.00 
23 Puncha 152.17 65.69 22.78 17   22 0.21 70.71 19.39 1.16 8.25 2.06 
 Total 3,498.45  499.93 424 93 26 10 561  1,731.13 513.35    
Sub-watershed ID (SID)Sub-watershed Name (SWN)Basin Area (km2)Basin Perimeter (km)Basin Length (L) in KmStream order wise stream number (Nu)
Drainage Stream FrequencyTotal Stream Length in Km (Lu)Mean Stream length in Km (Lum)Mean Stream Length Ratio AverageBifurcation Ratio (Rb)Mean Bifurcation Ratio (Rbm)
1st2nd3rd4th5thTotal
Daspur – II 86.06 42.25 16.48 10   15 0.21 32.02 10.97 0.44 2.50 0.63 
Daspur – I 29.21 27.37 8.92   0.27 10.71 6.06 1.13 4.00 1.00 
Ghatal 86.04 41.52 20.25 10   15 0.26 38.37 18.52 0.59 9.25 2.31 
Keshpur 49.91 39.94 12.09  13 0.44 32.83 16.43 10.67 7.00 1.75 
Chandrakona Town 289.61 87.17 32.83 26  35 0.17 151.01 27.63 1.09 9.33 2.33 
Chandrakona – II 110.53 68.23 19.00 13    14 0.22 57.28 32.67 3.73 13.00 3.25 
Chandrakona – I 270.39 109.01 31.57 24  30 0.19 135.15 48.42 0.46 10.00 2.50 
Salbani 444.55 123.81 41.88 62 10  76 0.27 219.16 51.06 2.31 12.53 3.13 
Garbeta – III 358.74 113.96 37.07 47   56 0.25 170.47 46.47 2.43 13.88 3.47 
10 Garbeta – I 114.58 52.33 19.39 11   15 0.19 57.57 20.99 0.46 3.67 0.92 
11 Vishnupur 113.60 49.67 19.29 16  22 0.28 52.41 18.94 1.55 8.00 2.00 
12 Amdangra 121.20 50.75 20.02 17  22 0.29 55.93 19.87 1.59 8.67 2.17 
13 Garbeta – II 134.09 54.39 21.20 15  24 0.25 70.20 19.58 0.36 4.67 1.17 
14 Sarenga 136.75 52.56 21.44 17   22 0.23 63.14 18.94 1.32 8.25 2.06 
15 Barisol 24.40 23.09 8.05  0.53 12.34 7.99 2.89 3.50 0.88 
16 Simplapal 139.00 61.21 21.64 16  23 0.26 72.37 17.10 1.38 7.83 1.96 
17 Onda 109.43 47.50 18.89 16  23 0.32 56.55 18.06 1.37 8.00 2.00 
18 Lakshmisagar 123.68 48.25 16.48 17  23 0.29 61.00 25.98 2.00 2.50 0.63 
19 Taldangra 148.89 58.83 22.50 18   23 0.24 76.91 22.30 1.40 8.50 2.13 
20 Khatra 159.70 63.96 23.41 21   25 0.28 84.63 8.88 0.69 7.00 1.75 
21 Indpur 134.15 57.92 21.20 16   20 0.22 66.49 17.44 1.04 8.33 2.08 
22 Hirabandh 161.80 62.11 23.58 18  27 0.24 83.88 19.67 1.14 8.00 2.00 
23 Puncha 152.17 65.69 22.78 17   22 0.21 70.71 19.39 1.16 8.25 2.06 
 Total 3,498.45  499.93 424 93 26 10 561  1,731.13 513.35    

Areal aspect

The areal aspect of the SRB watersheds was analysed using various parameters, including the constant of channel maintenance (Ccm), drainage density (Dd), drainage intensity (Di), drainage texture (Dt), length of overland flow (Lo), and texture ratio (Tr). The Ccm, defined as the inverse of Dd (Strahler 1964), varies significantly within the studied watersheds, with Keshpur exhibiting the largest Ccm and Daspur-I the smallest, indicating a more dispersed drainage network in Keshpur compared to Daspur-I (Table 3). Drainage density (Dd), the ratio of the total length of streams of all orders to the watershed area (Horton 1945), ranged from 0.42 km/km2 in Daspur II to 2.21 km/km2 in Salbani. Higher Dd values, such as in Salbani, indicate low infiltration capacity and high surface runoff, necessitating rainwater harvesting structures. Conversely, low Dd areas, like Daspur-I, are suitable for groundwater recharge zones. Drainage intensity (Di), the ratio of stream frequency (Fs) to Dd (Faniran 1968), is highest in Barisol, suggesting a higher potential for flooding and erosion due to a higher stream frequency relative to its drainage density. The texture ratio (Tr), which reflects the overall drainage network texture, is highest in Salbani and lowest in Chandrakona-II, highlighting variations in channel density and spacing across the watersheds.

Table 3

Areal, relief, and shape aspects of SRB

SWNAreal aspect
Relief aspect
Shape aspect
CCMDrainage Density (DD) km2Drainage Intensity (Di)Drainage TextureLength of Overland FlowTexture ratioMin. ElevMax. ElevRelative ReliefRuggedness NumberMelton Ruggedness NumberRuggedness IndexDissection IndexRelief Ratio (Rr)Gradient Ratio (Gr)Form FactorCirculatory RatioBasin Elongation RatioCompactness coefficient
Daspur – II 2.69 0.37 0.56 0.08 1.34 0.36 -4 20 24 8.93 2.59 0.01 1.20 0.75 0.44 0.08 0.61 0.95 1.28 
Daspur – I 3.74 0.27 1.02 0.07 1.87 0.26 -2 21 23 6.15 4.26 0.01 1.10 2.94 0.00 0.48 0.49 0.90 1.43 
Ghatal 2.03 0.49 0.59 0.14 1.01 0.48 26 25 11.15 2.70 0.04 0.56 0.65 0.42 0.03 0.67 0.99 1.22 
Keshpur 1.52 0.66 0.67 0.29 0.76 0.33 32 26 17.11 3.68 0.02 0.81 0.79 0.37 0.05 0.39 0.72 1.59 
Chandrakona Town 1.92 0.52 0.33 0.09 0.96 0.40 80 76 39.62 4.47 0.04 0.95 0.50 0.14 0.01 0.48 0.62 1.44 
Chandrakona – II 1.93 0.52 0.42 0.11 0.97 0.21 82 76 39.39 7.23 0.04 0.93 1.33 0.10 0.03 0.30 0.45 1.83 
Chandrakona – I 2.00 0.50 0.39 0.10 1.00 0.28 96 87 43.49 5.29 0.04 0.91 0.64 0.44 0.01 0.29 0.59 1.87 
Salbani 2.03 0.49 0.56 0.14 1.01 0.61 10 120 110 54.23 5.22 0.05 0.92 0.50 0.76 0.01 0.36 0.53 1.66 
Garbeta – III 2.11 0.48 0.53 0.12 1.05 0.49 10 106 96 45.62 5.07 0.05 0.91 0.56 0.99 0.01 0.35 0.52 1.70 
Garbeta – I 1.99 0.50 0.38 0.10 1.00 0.29 26 100 74 37.18 6.91 0.04 0.74 1.29 0.37 0.03 0.53 0.97 1.38 
Vishnupur 2.17 0.46 0.61 0.13 1.08 0.44 30 112 82 37.83 7.69 0.04 0.73 1.56 3.56 0.04 0.58 0.71 1.31 
Amdangra 2.17 0.46 0.63 0.13 1.08 0.43 32 109 77 35.53 6.99 0.04 0.71 1.38 3.49 0.04 0.59 0.71 1.30 
Garbeta – II 1.91 0.52 0.48 0.13 0.96 0.44 28 106 78 40.84 6.74 0.04 0.74 1.11 0.61 0.03 0.57 0.87 1.33 
Sarenga 2.17 0.46 0.51 0.11 1.08 0.42 44 125 81 37.40 6.93 0.04 0.65 1.28 1.61 0.03 0.62 0.75 1.27 
Barisol 1.98 0.51 1.05 0.27 0.99 0.39 39 86 47 23.77 9.52 0.02 0.55 3.81 0.34 0.16 0.58 0.98 1.32 
Simplapal 1.92 0.52 0.50 0.14 0.96 0.38 43 114 71 36.96 6.02 0.04 0.62 0.98 0.07 0.03 0.47 0.92 1.46 
Onda 1.94 0.52 0.62 0.17 0.97 0.48 43 112 69 35.65 6.60 0.04 0.62 1.22 1.04 0.03 0.61 0.98 1.28 
Lakshmisagar 2.24 0.45 0.57 0.11 1.12 0.36 56 127 71 35.02 6.38 0.01 0.96 1.16 0.92 0.06 0.63 0.92 1.26 
Taldangra 1.94 0.52 0.47 0.13 0.97 0.39 59 132 73 37.71 5.98 0.04 0.55 0.95 1.20 0.03 0.54 0.83 1.36 
Khatra 1.89 0.53 0.52 0.15 0.94 0.39 68 220 152 80.55 12.03 0.08 0.69 1.80 1.41 0.02 0.49 0.92 1.43 
Indpur 2.02 0.50 0.45 0.11 1.01 0.35 80 166 86 42.63 7.43 0.04 0.52 1.29 1.23 0.03 0.50 0.61 1.41 
Hirabandh 1.93 0.52 0.45 0.12 0.96 0.44 94 210 116 60.14 9.12 0.06 0.55 1.38 1.66 0.02 0.53 0.89 1.38 
Puncha 2.15 0.47 0.45 0.10 1.08 0.34 119 227 108 50.19 8.76 0.05 0.48 1.53 2.14 0.03 0.44 0.56 1.50 
SWNAreal aspect
Relief aspect
Shape aspect
CCMDrainage Density (DD) km2Drainage Intensity (Di)Drainage TextureLength of Overland FlowTexture ratioMin. ElevMax. ElevRelative ReliefRuggedness NumberMelton Ruggedness NumberRuggedness IndexDissection IndexRelief Ratio (Rr)Gradient Ratio (Gr)Form FactorCirculatory RatioBasin Elongation RatioCompactness coefficient
Daspur – II 2.69 0.37 0.56 0.08 1.34 0.36 -4 20 24 8.93 2.59 0.01 1.20 0.75 0.44 0.08 0.61 0.95 1.28 
Daspur – I 3.74 0.27 1.02 0.07 1.87 0.26 -2 21 23 6.15 4.26 0.01 1.10 2.94 0.00 0.48 0.49 0.90 1.43 
Ghatal 2.03 0.49 0.59 0.14 1.01 0.48 26 25 11.15 2.70 0.04 0.56 0.65 0.42 0.03 0.67 0.99 1.22 
Keshpur 1.52 0.66 0.67 0.29 0.76 0.33 32 26 17.11 3.68 0.02 0.81 0.79 0.37 0.05 0.39 0.72 1.59 
Chandrakona Town 1.92 0.52 0.33 0.09 0.96 0.40 80 76 39.62 4.47 0.04 0.95 0.50 0.14 0.01 0.48 0.62 1.44 
Chandrakona – II 1.93 0.52 0.42 0.11 0.97 0.21 82 76 39.39 7.23 0.04 0.93 1.33 0.10 0.03 0.30 0.45 1.83 
Chandrakona – I 2.00 0.50 0.39 0.10 1.00 0.28 96 87 43.49 5.29 0.04 0.91 0.64 0.44 0.01 0.29 0.59 1.87 
Salbani 2.03 0.49 0.56 0.14 1.01 0.61 10 120 110 54.23 5.22 0.05 0.92 0.50 0.76 0.01 0.36 0.53 1.66 
Garbeta – III 2.11 0.48 0.53 0.12 1.05 0.49 10 106 96 45.62 5.07 0.05 0.91 0.56 0.99 0.01 0.35 0.52 1.70 
Garbeta – I 1.99 0.50 0.38 0.10 1.00 0.29 26 100 74 37.18 6.91 0.04 0.74 1.29 0.37 0.03 0.53 0.97 1.38 
Vishnupur 2.17 0.46 0.61 0.13 1.08 0.44 30 112 82 37.83 7.69 0.04 0.73 1.56 3.56 0.04 0.58 0.71 1.31 
Amdangra 2.17 0.46 0.63 0.13 1.08 0.43 32 109 77 35.53 6.99 0.04 0.71 1.38 3.49 0.04 0.59 0.71 1.30 
Garbeta – II 1.91 0.52 0.48 0.13 0.96 0.44 28 106 78 40.84 6.74 0.04 0.74 1.11 0.61 0.03 0.57 0.87 1.33 
Sarenga 2.17 0.46 0.51 0.11 1.08 0.42 44 125 81 37.40 6.93 0.04 0.65 1.28 1.61 0.03 0.62 0.75 1.27 
Barisol 1.98 0.51 1.05 0.27 0.99 0.39 39 86 47 23.77 9.52 0.02 0.55 3.81 0.34 0.16 0.58 0.98 1.32 
Simplapal 1.92 0.52 0.50 0.14 0.96 0.38 43 114 71 36.96 6.02 0.04 0.62 0.98 0.07 0.03 0.47 0.92 1.46 
Onda 1.94 0.52 0.62 0.17 0.97 0.48 43 112 69 35.65 6.60 0.04 0.62 1.22 1.04 0.03 0.61 0.98 1.28 
Lakshmisagar 2.24 0.45 0.57 0.11 1.12 0.36 56 127 71 35.02 6.38 0.01 0.96 1.16 0.92 0.06 0.63 0.92 1.26 
Taldangra 1.94 0.52 0.47 0.13 0.97 0.39 59 132 73 37.71 5.98 0.04 0.55 0.95 1.20 0.03 0.54 0.83 1.36 
Khatra 1.89 0.53 0.52 0.15 0.94 0.39 68 220 152 80.55 12.03 0.08 0.69 1.80 1.41 0.02 0.49 0.92 1.43 
Indpur 2.02 0.50 0.45 0.11 1.01 0.35 80 166 86 42.63 7.43 0.04 0.52 1.29 1.23 0.03 0.50 0.61 1.41 
Hirabandh 1.93 0.52 0.45 0.12 0.96 0.44 94 210 116 60.14 9.12 0.06 0.55 1.38 1.66 0.02 0.53 0.89 1.38 
Puncha 2.15 0.47 0.45 0.10 1.08 0.34 119 227 108 50.19 8.76 0.05 0.48 1.53 2.14 0.03 0.44 0.56 1.50 

Relief aspect

The relief aspect of the SRB watersheds was analysed using various parameters, including relative relief (H), drainage density (Dd), ruggedness number (Rn), dissection index, relief ratio (Rh), and gradient ratio (Gr). Relative relief, which measures the difference between the maximum and minimum elevations within a watershed (Schumm 1956), is highest in Khatra and lowest in Daspur-II (Table 3). Watersheds with higher relative relief, such as Khatra, exhibit greater runoff potential. The ruggedness number, the product of maximum watershed relief and drainage density (Strahler 1964), indicates a more structurally complex and erosion-prone terrain. Khatra, with the highest Rn, suggests a highly complex terrain susceptible to erosion, whereas Daspur-I, with the lowest Rn, indicates a less complex terrain with lower erosion potential. Sub-watersheds like Garbeta III show high ruggedness numbers (Rn = 4.11) and relief ratios (Rh = 0.07), indicating steep, erosion-prone terrain. The relief ratio, which measures the ratio of a watershed's total relief to its longest dimension parallel to the main drainage line (Schumm 1956), is highest in Barisol and lowest in Salbani. Higher Rh values indicate increased erosion intensity (Aher et al. 2014), making sub-watersheds with high Rh values more susceptible to erosion. Slope stabilization techniques such as contour bunding and afforestation are recommended for these areas.

Shape aspect

The circulatory ratio (Rc) measures a watershed's circularity, with higher values indicating a greater flood hazard (Miller 1953). The study found that Lakshmisagar has the highest Rc (more susceptible to flooding), while Chandrakona – I have the lowest Rc (lower flood risk). The elongation ratio (Re), which compares the diameter of a circle with the same area as the watershed to its maximum length (Schumm 1956), categorizes watersheds into various shapes. Lakshmisagar has a higher Re, indicating a more circular shape, whereas Chandrakona – II has a lower Re, indicating a more elongated shape (Table 3). The form factor (Ff), the ratio of watershed area to the square of its length, indicates potential peak flow. A higher Ff means quicker peak stream flow (Horton 1945); Daspur – I has the highest Ff, suggesting quicker peak flows, while Salbani has the lowest Ff. The compactness coefficient (Cc), the ratio of the watershed's perimeter to the circumference of an equivalent circular area (Horton 1945), indicates erosion potential. Chandrakona – I have the highest Cc, suggesting higher erosion potential, while Lakshmisagar, with the lowest Cc, indicates greater elongation and reduced erosion risk. SRB's landscapes with values close to 0 for Ff, Re, Rc are more elongated, while those close to 1 are more circular (Miller 1953; Schumm 1956; Strahler 1964). Circular terrains have low infiltration capacity, high runoff, and are susceptible to soil erosion when compared to elongated terrains. The compound parameters (Cp) result was calculated for sub-watershed prioritization, as represented in Table 4. The sub-watersheds were then divided into three categories: low, medium, and high. Ghatal, Keshpur, Chandrakona II, Salbani, Garbeta – III, Vishnupur, Amdangra, Khatra, and Puncha are high-priority sub-watersheds, Daspur – I, Chandrakona Town, Chandrakona – I, Arenga, Barisol, Simplapal, Taldangra, Onda, Indpur and Hirabandh are medium-priority sub-watersheds, and Daspur-II, Garbeta-I, Garbeta-II, and Lakshmisagar are low-priority sub-watersheds. There has been a direct correlation between shape aspects and flood potentiality, as higher priority zones are associated with increased erodibility and vice versa. Therefore, in high-priority sub-watersheds, appropriate practices should be adopted for soil and water conservation (Das & Bandyopadhyay 2015).

Table 4

Calculation of compound parameters, prioritization, and ranking based on MA

SWNMrbLumFsDDDTLgCCMRiDiRrFfRcReCcSum of rankings (x)Total number of parameters (y)Compound parameter (x/y)RankingFinal priority
Daspur – II 22 22 20 22 22 22 18 21 19 19 217 14 15.50 23 Low 
Daspur – I 19 15 23 23 23 23 15 14 179 14 12.79 18 Medium 
Ghatal 14 18 18 13 12 23 23 161 14 11.50 High 
Keshpur 16 23 23 20 17 19 10 19 166 14 11.86 High 
Chandrakona Town 16 23 21 20 20 22 16 179 14 12.79 19 Medium 
Chandrakona – II 18 15 17 17 10 13 22 139 14 9.93 High 
Chandrakona – I 21 22 12 20 12 12 20 23 171 14 12.21 11 Medium 
Salbani 15 10 10 23 20 118 14 8.43 High 
Garbeta – III 12 16 13 21 21 123 14 8.79 High 
Garbeta – I 20 20 21 11 19 13 13 14 10 10 16 12 20 12 211 14 15.07 22 Low 
Vishnupur 12 20 10 11 12 18 17 143 14 10.21 High 
Amdangra 19 16 13 17 18 141 14 10.07 High 
Garbeta – II 18 23 13 21 21 11 14 15 13 186 14 13.29 20 Low 
Sarenga 10 12 16 18 17 13 15 11 14 21 11 173 14 12.36 13 Medium 
Barisol 21 10 14 14 19 21 22 16 21 173 14 12.36 14 Medium 
Simplapal 15 10 10 19 19 15 16 15 17 17 178 14 12.71 17 Medium 
Onda 13 11 15 15 17 17 12 15 20 22 175 14 12.50 16 Medium 
Lakshmisagar 23 19 11 21 14 21 19 20 22 16 197 14 14.07 21 Low 
Taldangra 14 11 16 16 12 19 16 14 12 10 173 14 12.36 15 Medium 
Khatra 17 18 22 22 14 10 18 15 158 14 11.29 High 
Indpur 17 17 13 16 11 11 22 10 11 14 172 14 12.29 12 Medium 
Hirabandh 14 14 15 12 18 18 20 13 14 11 169 14 12.07 10 Medium 
Puncha 11 13 19 17 18 23 11 19 164 14 11.71 High 
SWNMrbLumFsDDDTLgCCMRiDiRrFfRcReCcSum of rankings (x)Total number of parameters (y)Compound parameter (x/y)RankingFinal priority
Daspur – II 22 22 20 22 22 22 18 21 19 19 217 14 15.50 23 Low 
Daspur – I 19 15 23 23 23 23 15 14 179 14 12.79 18 Medium 
Ghatal 14 18 18 13 12 23 23 161 14 11.50 High 
Keshpur 16 23 23 20 17 19 10 19 166 14 11.86 High 
Chandrakona Town 16 23 21 20 20 22 16 179 14 12.79 19 Medium 
Chandrakona – II 18 15 17 17 10 13 22 139 14 9.93 High 
Chandrakona – I 21 22 12 20 12 12 20 23 171 14 12.21 11 Medium 
Salbani 15 10 10 23 20 118 14 8.43 High 
Garbeta – III 12 16 13 21 21 123 14 8.79 High 
Garbeta – I 20 20 21 11 19 13 13 14 10 10 16 12 20 12 211 14 15.07 22 Low 
Vishnupur 12 20 10 11 12 18 17 143 14 10.21 High 
Amdangra 19 16 13 17 18 141 14 10.07 High 
Garbeta – II 18 23 13 21 21 11 14 15 13 186 14 13.29 20 Low 
Sarenga 10 12 16 18 17 13 15 11 14 21 11 173 14 12.36 13 Medium 
Barisol 21 10 14 14 19 21 22 16 21 173 14 12.36 14 Medium 
Simplapal 15 10 10 19 19 15 16 15 17 17 178 14 12.71 17 Medium 
Onda 13 11 15 15 17 17 12 15 20 22 175 14 12.50 16 Medium 
Lakshmisagar 23 19 11 21 14 21 19 20 22 16 197 14 14.07 21 Low 
Taldangra 14 11 16 16 12 19 16 14 12 10 173 14 12.36 15 Medium 
Khatra 17 18 22 22 14 10 18 15 158 14 11.29 High 
Indpur 17 17 13 16 11 11 22 10 11 14 172 14 12.29 12 Medium 
Hirabandh 14 14 15 12 18 18 20 13 14 11 169 14 12.07 10 Medium 
Puncha 11 13 19 17 18 23 11 19 164 14 11.71 High 

Prioritization of sub-watersheds based on PCA

PCA was employed to prioritize sub-watersheds in the SRB based on their susceptibility to flooding. Initially, 25 morphometric parameters were reduced to five key components using XLSTAT software, and then 12 morphometric parameters were reduced to four principal components, explaining 67% of the total variance (Table 5). The PCA results revealed strong correlations between morphometric parameters, indicating their significant role in flood susceptibility. Specifically, parameters such as basin length (L), dissection index (Di), relief ratio (Rr), mean stream length ratio (Rl), and texture ratio (Rt) were found to influence flood susceptibility. High-priority sub-watersheds, such as Chandrakona II, exhibited strong correlations with parameters such as drainage density (Dd) and form factor (Rf). A Pearson correlation coefficient (r = 0.82, p < 0.01) confirmed the statistical significance of relationships between stream order (u) and stream length (Lu), indicating the influence of topographic relief on hydrological responses. The basin length and dissection index were strongly correlated (>0.64) with area and perimeter, respectively, suggesting that larger and more dissected sub-watersheds are more prone to flooding. Similarly, the mean stream length ratio, relief ratio, and texture ratio were correlated with basin length, drainage stream frequency, and form factor, indicating that longer streams and steeper slopes increase flood susceptibility. The PCA-derived parameters enabled the classification of sub-watersheds into three groups: high (Cp ≤ 8), medium (Cp 8–15), and low (Cp ≥ 15) susceptibility. Sub-watersheds with the lowest compound parameter (Cp) values were ranked highest for susceptibility, while those with higher Cp values ranked lower (Aher et al. 2014). The first two factors captured 60% of the variability in data, enabling efficient prioritization and targeted interventions for better watershed management. The management implications of this study highlight the importance of targeted interventions, such as promoting erosion-resistant vegetation in sub-watersheds with high Rf values.

Table 5

Prioritization of sub-watershed based on PCA

SWNLDiRrLumRtSum of rankings (x)Total number of parameters (y)Compound parameter (x/y)RankingFinal priority
Daspur – II 19 18 22 16 76 15.2 22 Low 
Daspur – I 22 15 22 63 12.6 14 Medium 
Ghatal 13 18 13 54 10.8 Medium 
Keshpur 21 17 19 67 13.4 18 Low 
Chandrakona Town 22 16 10 55 11 Medium 
Chandrakona – II 17 23 55 11 10 Medium 
Chandrakona – I 20 21 21 74 14.8 19 Low 
Salbani 23 36 7.2 High 
Garbeta – III 21 36 7.2 High 
Garbeta – I 15 10 10 20 20 75 15 20 Low 
Vishnupur 16 12 45 High 
Amdangra 14 13 49 9.8 High 
Garbeta – II 12 11 14 23 66 13.2 17 Low 
Sarenga 10 15 11 12 57 11.4 11 Medium 
Barisol 21 13 47 9.4 High 
Simplapal 16 15 10 14 64 12.8 15 Medium 
Onda 18 17 12 11 61 12.2 12 Medium 
Lakshmisagar 20 19 19 15 76 15.2 23 Low 
Taldangra 19 16 11 63 12.6 13 Medium 
Khatra 14 18 12 53 10.6 High 
Indpur 11 22 17 17 76 15.2 21 Low 
Hirabandh 20 14 52 10.4 High 
Puncha 23 13 18 65 13 16 Medium 
SWNLDiRrLumRtSum of rankings (x)Total number of parameters (y)Compound parameter (x/y)RankingFinal priority
Daspur – II 19 18 22 16 76 15.2 22 Low 
Daspur – I 22 15 22 63 12.6 14 Medium 
Ghatal 13 18 13 54 10.8 Medium 
Keshpur 21 17 19 67 13.4 18 Low 
Chandrakona Town 22 16 10 55 11 Medium 
Chandrakona – II 17 23 55 11 10 Medium 
Chandrakona – I 20 21 21 74 14.8 19 Low 
Salbani 23 36 7.2 High 
Garbeta – III 21 36 7.2 High 
Garbeta – I 15 10 10 20 20 75 15 20 Low 
Vishnupur 16 12 45 High 
Amdangra 14 13 49 9.8 High 
Garbeta – II 12 11 14 23 66 13.2 17 Low 
Sarenga 10 15 11 12 57 11.4 11 Medium 
Barisol 21 13 47 9.4 High 
Simplapal 16 15 10 14 64 12.8 15 Medium 
Onda 18 17 12 11 61 12.2 12 Medium 
Lakshmisagar 20 19 19 15 76 15.2 23 Low 
Taldangra 19 16 11 63 12.6 13 Medium 
Khatra 14 18 12 53 10.6 High 
Indpur 11 22 17 17 76 15.2 21 Low 
Hirabandh 20 14 52 10.4 High 
Puncha 23 13 18 65 13 16 Medium 

Prioritization of sub-watersheds based on ARC-SWPT analysis

This study evaluated flood susceptibility in the SRB by analyzing hydro-geomorphologic aspects, specifically examining morphometric parameters to understand their impact on flood patterns and soil erosion. The automated SWPT was employed to prioritize 23 sub-watersheds based on their erosion susceptibility. Figure 4 illustrates the correlation matrix derived from the auto WSA, highlighting the relationships between various morphometric characteristics and the hydrological behaviour of the sub-watersheds. The analysis revealed complex relationships between morphometric parameters and flood susceptibility. Stream frequency (Fs) is positively linked to form factor (Rf), elongation ratio (Re), drainage density (Dd), and texture ratio (Rt), indicating a relationship between stream number and watershed morphology. However, STI decreases with increasing Fs, Rf, Re, Dd, and Rt, indicating lower sediment transport efficiency in areas with higher stream frequency and drainage density. In comparison to LULC analysis, it is evident that sub-watersheds with higher proportions of dense forests, plantations, and mixed grazing lands have lower flood susceptibility, whereas those with extensive built-up areas and barren lands are more prone to flooding (Table 6).

Table 6

Prioritization of sub-watersheds based on LULC

WatershedsRiver and waterbodiesBuilt-up AreaBarren LandDense ForestPlantationMixed Grazing LandAgricultureSum of Rankings (x)Total Number of Parameters (y)Compound Parameters (x/y)RankingsPriority
Daspur – II 23 22 16 20 95 13.57 15 Medium 
Daspur – I 21 23 23 11 18 23 121 17.29 23 High 
Ghatal 22 18 21 12 10 21 109 15.57 20 High 
Keshpur 14 20 22 76 10.86 Medium 
Chandrakona Town 16 16 15 16 22 94 13.43 14 Medium 
Chandrakona – II 18 14 19 19 23 106 15.14 18 High 
Chandrakona – I 19 11 18 20 13 21 108 15.43 19 High 
Salbani 15 13 41 5.86 Low 
Garbeta – III 12 13 14 11 11 18 81 11.57 11 Medium 
Garbeta – I 17 12 15 21 17 92 13.14 13 Medium 
Vishnupur 20 20 17 23 15 15 117 16.71 22 High 
Amdangra 15 22 14 22 19 16 112 16.00 21 High 
Garbeta – II 10 14 17 75 10.71 Medium 
Sarenga 18 14 61 8.71 Low 
Barisol 10 12 13 12 10 19 85 12.14 12 Medium 
Simplapal 17 12 52 7.43 Low 
Onda 10 17 11 17 17 14 11 97 13.86 16.5 Medium 
Lakshmisagar 19 55 7.86 Low 
Taldangra 13 19 10 18 22 10 97 13.86 16.5 Medium 
Khatra 13 13 12 63 9.00 Low 
Indpur 11 16 16 23 80 11.43 10 Medium 
Hirabandh 15 21 59 8.43 Low 
Puncha 21 20 54 7.71 Low 
WatershedsRiver and waterbodiesBuilt-up AreaBarren LandDense ForestPlantationMixed Grazing LandAgricultureSum of Rankings (x)Total Number of Parameters (y)Compound Parameters (x/y)RankingsPriority
Daspur – II 23 22 16 20 95 13.57 15 Medium 
Daspur – I 21 23 23 11 18 23 121 17.29 23 High 
Ghatal 22 18 21 12 10 21 109 15.57 20 High 
Keshpur 14 20 22 76 10.86 Medium 
Chandrakona Town 16 16 15 16 22 94 13.43 14 Medium 
Chandrakona – II 18 14 19 19 23 106 15.14 18 High 
Chandrakona – I 19 11 18 20 13 21 108 15.43 19 High 
Salbani 15 13 41 5.86 Low 
Garbeta – III 12 13 14 11 11 18 81 11.57 11 Medium 
Garbeta – I 17 12 15 21 17 92 13.14 13 Medium 
Vishnupur 20 20 17 23 15 15 117 16.71 22 High 
Amdangra 15 22 14 22 19 16 112 16.00 21 High 
Garbeta – II 10 14 17 75 10.71 Medium 
Sarenga 18 14 61 8.71 Low 
Barisol 10 12 13 12 10 19 85 12.14 12 Medium 
Simplapal 17 12 52 7.43 Low 
Onda 10 17 11 17 17 14 11 97 13.86 16.5 Medium 
Lakshmisagar 19 55 7.86 Low 
Taldangra 13 19 10 18 22 10 97 13.86 16.5 Medium 
Khatra 13 13 12 63 9.00 Low 
Indpur 11 16 16 23 80 11.43 10 Medium 
Hirabandh 15 21 59 8.43 Low 
Puncha 21 20 54 7.71 Low 

The SWPT integrated morphometric and hydrological indices to automate prioritization. Sub-watersheds like Chandrakona I, with a high sediment transport index (STI = 0.84), were identified as erosion hotspots. Practical recommendations include sediment retention structures and buffer zones along riparian areas. The automated prioritization of sub-watersheds used constant compound parameter values (Cp), as detailed in Table 7. SWPT-derived Cp values have an inverse relationship with erodibility. Watersheds with the highest Cp are of low priority, while those with the lowest Cp are of high priority. Lower Cp values signify higher erosion risk and hence, higher priority. Garbeta-III, with a Cp value of −301.75, was ranked as the highest priority sub-watershed due to its high erosion risk. In contrast, Daspur-I, with a Cp value of 36.28, was determined to have the lowest priority due to its lower erosion susceptibility. The SWPT analysis-based prioritization is presented in Table 7.

Table 7

Prioritization of sub-watersheds based on HA, SWPT

SWNDaspur – IIDaspur – IGhatalKeshpurChandrakona TownChandrakona -IIChandrakona - ISalbaniGarbeta – IIIGarbeta – IVishnupurAmdangraGarbeta – IISarengaBarisolSimplapalOndaLakshmisagarTaldangraKhatraIndpurHirabandhPuncha
Hypsometric Integral 0.52 0.51 0.54 0.52 0.49 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.49 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.48 0.49 0.51 0.51 0.5 0.5 0.49 0.5 0.49 0.49 
Priority High Medium High High Low Medium Medium Medium Low Medium Medium Medium Medium Low Low Medium Medium Medium Medium Low Medium Low Low 
SWPT Scores -72.03 -36.28 -113.36 -76.91 -243.63 -125.84 -240.14 -301.20 -301.75 -152.86 -168.92 -177.39 -186.11 -184.70 -73.17 -183.73 -159.40 -170.59 -193.49 -156.80 -173.79 -196.39 -185.91 
Priority Low Low Low Low High Low High High High Low Low Medium Medium Medium Medium Meidum Low Medium High Low Medium High Medium 
SWNDaspur – IIDaspur – IGhatalKeshpurChandrakona TownChandrakona -IIChandrakona - ISalbaniGarbeta – IIIGarbeta – IVishnupurAmdangraGarbeta – IISarengaBarisolSimplapalOndaLakshmisagarTaldangraKhatraIndpurHirabandhPuncha
Hypsometric Integral 0.52 0.51 0.54 0.52 0.49 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.49 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.48 0.49 0.51 0.51 0.5 0.5 0.49 0.5 0.49 0.49 
Priority High Medium High High Low Medium Medium Medium Low Medium Medium Medium Medium Low Low Medium Medium Medium Medium Low Medium Low Low 
SWPT Scores -72.03 -36.28 -113.36 -76.91 -243.63 -125.84 -240.14 -301.20 -301.75 -152.86 -168.92 -177.39 -186.11 -184.70 -73.17 -183.73 -159.40 -170.59 -193.49 -156.80 -173.79 -196.39 -185.91 
Priority Low Low Low Low High Low High High High Low Low Medium Medium Medium Medium Meidum Low Medium High Low Medium High Medium 

Prioritization of sub-watersheds based on LULC analysis

The prioritization of sub-watersheds based on LULC analysis was conducted using Landsat-9 Satellite imagery of 30 m resolution. The LULC classifications were divided into seven main classes: river and water bodies, built-up areas, barren land, dense forest, plantation, mixed grazing land, and agriculture (Figure 5). Greater aerial coverage of rivers, water bodies, and dense forests promotes sustainable integrated watershed management and water balance cycle, thereby reducing flood susceptibility (Supplementary Table 1). The LULC analysis revealed significant anthropogenic impacts on watershed dynamics. Sub-watersheds with extensive built-up areas, such as Salbani (12.4%), exhibit high surface runoff and flood risks. Urban green infrastructure and pervious surfaces are essential for these zones. Conversely, forested sub-watersheds like Lakshmisagar demonstrated low erosion vulnerability, emphasizing the need for the conservation of natural vegetation. These findings align with studies by Biswas & Chakraborty (2016), underscoring the role of LULC changes in hydrological responses. The sub-watersheds were prioritized based on their LULC characteristics, with Daspur – I, Ghatal, Chandrakona – II, Chandrakona – I, Vishnupur, and Amdangra being high-priority sub-watersheds, and Salbani, Sarenga, Simplapal, Lakshmisagar, Khatra, Hirabandh, and Puncha being low-priority sub-watersheds (Table 6).
Figure 5

LULC (2024) map of the SRB.

Figure 5

LULC (2024) map of the SRB.

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Prioritization of sub-watersheds based on hypsometry analysis (HA)

An HA was conducted to evaluate the erosion and deposition stages of the SRB. The HI values for all sub-watersheds were calculated using the elevation-relief method, ranging from 0.48 to 0.54. This range suggests that most sub-watersheds are relatively mature, with stabilizing erosional processes. Notably, the HI values indicate varying degrees of erosion susceptibility, with higher values signifying increased susceptibility to erosion and sedimentation. Specifically, sub-watersheds with HI values closer to 0.54 are more prone to erosion, whereas those with lower HI values (near 0.48) exhibit reduced erosion susceptibility.

The hypsometric curves and integrals (HI) classified sub-watersheds into different erosion stages. Youthful sub-watersheds like Ghatal (HI = 0.54) indicate active erosion and sedimentation, necessitating slope stabilization measures. In contrast, mature sub-watersheds like Chandrakona I (HI = 0.49) reflect relatively stable landscapes, suitable for agricultural intensification and rainwater harvesting (Figure 6). Sub-watersheds like Daspur-II, Ghatal, and Keshpur, with higher HI values, were prioritized for their greater potential for erosion and sedimentation. These results align with Willgoose & Hancock (1998), who emphasized the role of HA in assessing erosion susceptibility. The prioritization based on the Cp value is depicted in Figure 7(e), and the details are presented in Table 7.
Figure 6

Hypsometric curve and HI.

Figure 6

Hypsometric curve and HI.

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Figure 7

Prioritization of sub-watersheds based on (a) MA; (b) PCA; (c) LULC; (d) HI; and (e); sub-watershed prioritisation; and (f) CPR.

Figure 7

Prioritization of sub-watersheds based on (a) MA; (b) PCA; (c) LULC; (d) HI; and (e); sub-watershed prioritisation; and (f) CPR.

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Common sub-watersheds

Different methods may yield varying priority levels in the sub-watershed priority assessment in SRB. However, if three out of the five methods consistently assign a similar priority to a particular sub-watershed, it is reasonable to consider that priority. For example, if Khatra is consistently rated as a high priority by three methods, it can be reliably deemed a high-priority area. By identifying common results and considering consistency among the methods, a more reliable assessment of priority sub-watersheds can be achieved. The results are shown in Table 8 and the final common priority rank (CPR) map of SRB is shown in Figure 7(f).

Table 8

Common prioritization of the sub-watersheds

SIDSWNPrioritization parameters
MAPCASWPTLULCHICommon Priority (p)
Daspur – II Low Low Low Medium High Low 
Daspur – I Medium Medium Low High Medium Medium 
Ghatal High Medium Low High High High 
Keshpur High Low Low Medium High Medium 
Chandrakona Town Medium Medium High Medium Low Medium 
Chandrakona – II High Medium Low High Medium High 
Chandrakona – I Medium Low High High Medium High 
Salbani High High High Low Medium High 
Garbeta – III High High High Medium Low High 
10 Garbeta – I Low Low Low Medium Medium Low 
11 Vishnupur High High Low High Medium High 
12 Amdangra High High Medium High Medium High 
13 Garbeta – II Low Low Medium Medium Medium Medium 
14 Sarenga Medium Medium Medium Low Low Medium 
15 Barisol Medium High Medium Medium Low Medium 
16 Simplapal Medium Medium Medium Low Medium Medium 
17 Onda Medium Medium Low Medium Medium Medium 
18 Lakshmisagar Low Low Medium Low Medium Low 
19 Taldangra Medium Medium High Medium Medium Medium 
20 Khatra High High Low Low Low Low 
21 Indpur Medium Low Medium Medium Medium Medium 
22 Hirabandh Medium High High Low Low Medium 
23 Puncha High Medium Medium Low Low Medium 
SIDSWNPrioritization parameters
MAPCASWPTLULCHICommon Priority (p)
Daspur – II Low Low Low Medium High Low 
Daspur – I Medium Medium Low High Medium Medium 
Ghatal High Medium Low High High High 
Keshpur High Low Low Medium High Medium 
Chandrakona Town Medium Medium High Medium Low Medium 
Chandrakona – II High Medium Low High Medium High 
Chandrakona – I Medium Low High High Medium High 
Salbani High High High Low Medium High 
Garbeta – III High High High Medium Low High 
10 Garbeta – I Low Low Low Medium Medium Low 
11 Vishnupur High High Low High Medium High 
12 Amdangra High High Medium High Medium High 
13 Garbeta – II Low Low Medium Medium Medium Medium 
14 Sarenga Medium Medium Medium Low Low Medium 
15 Barisol Medium High Medium Medium Low Medium 
16 Simplapal Medium Medium Medium Low Medium Medium 
17 Onda Medium Medium Low Medium Medium Medium 
18 Lakshmisagar Low Low Medium Low Medium Low 
19 Taldangra Medium Medium High Medium Medium Medium 
20 Khatra High High Low Low Low Low 
21 Indpur Medium Low Medium Medium Medium Medium 
22 Hirabandh Medium High High Low Low Medium 
23 Puncha High Medium Medium Low Low Medium 

Validation

The study validated sub-watershed prioritization using the latest flood inventories from the Irrigation & Waterways Department (I&WD), Government of West Bengal, field visits during the 2024 monsoonal flood, and flow information from two gauge stations in the SRB for 2022–2023. It is found from Supplementary Figure 2 that the lower river basin is more flood-prone due to sedimentation, heavy monsoon rainfall, and reduced river carrying capacity, exacerbating flooding. The flood inventory data identifies spatially distributed flood-inundated areas within the SRB, derived from historical satellite imagery and field observations during major flood events over the past decade, primarily occurring during the monsoon season. The ROC/AUC curve, a quantitative measure of model validation, visually depicted the accuracy and statistical significance of the study. SRB's estimated and actual vulnerable sites were used to generate the ROC curve. The success rate result was obtained using the training dataset, which used 70% of the inventory flood locations (80 flood locations). In this study, the area under the ROC curve is 0.797, which means this model also gives 80% success accuracy and all the morpho-dynamic parameters play a significant role in erosivity and flood distribution (Figure 8). The prediction accuracy was calculated further using the testing data for 30% of the flooded areas (35 flood locations) that were not used in the training process. The Boolean ROC plot, displaying sensitivity against specificity, visually confirmed the model's validity. The proximity of the plot to the northwest corner indicated higher overall accuracy. In conclusion, our Prioritisation approach, with AUC values significantly enhances the prediction of flood-prone areas within the watershed, indicating good accuracy. Further, historical flood records confirmed the prioritization results, identifying Garbeta-III, Chandrakona Town, Keshpur, Ghatal, and Salbani as critical zones. This validation demonstrates the effectiveness of integrating morphometric parameters with flood management strategies, providing a framework for sustainable watershed management in the SRB.
Figure 8

(a) Field survey of SRB during the monsoonal flood; (b) AUC curve for prioritisation validation; (c) regional newspaper coverage of Ghatal Flood (2024); and (d) mitigating flood damage with sandbag barriers.

Figure 8

(a) Field survey of SRB during the monsoonal flood; (b) AUC curve for prioritisation validation; (c) regional newspaper coverage of Ghatal Flood (2024); and (d) mitigating flood damage with sandbag barriers.

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Conservation and management strategy

To ensure long-term sustainability, ecosystem health, and community well-being, the prioritization strategy plan targets high-, medium-, and low-priority sub-watersheds with specific actions and policies. It presents a methodical strategy that integrates ecosystem-based management, climate resilience, and sustainable development to rank sub-watersheds in the SRB in order of importance for soil and water conservation (Table 9).

Table 9

Prioritization strategy for the sub-watersheds of the SRB based on their priority level

Priority of sub-watersheds
High
Medium
Low
The sub-watersheds having high priority are Ghatal, Chandrakona I & II, Salbani, Garbeta I & III, Vishnupur, and Amdangra. The sub-watersheds having medium priority are Daspur – I, Keshpur, Chandrakona Town, Garbeta – II, Sarenga, Barisol, Simplapal, Onda, Taldangra, Indpur, Hirabandh, and Puncha. The sub-watersheds having low priority are Daspur – II, Garbeta – I, Lakshmisagar and Khatra. 
ActionsPolicy measuresActionsPolicy measuresActionsPolicy measures
i) In Ghatal and Garbeta III, implement terracing and contour bunding to reduce soil erosion and improve water retention, considering their high bifurcation ratios and stream orders. i) Designate Ghatal and Garbeta III as ‘Erosion-Prone Zones,’ regulating land use practices to prevent soil degradation and ensure sustainable agriculture practices. i) In Daspur-I and Hirabandh, implement soil conservation measures like contour bunding and terracing, considering their moderate bifurcation ratios and stream orders. i) Designate Daspur-I and Hirabandh as ‘Soil Conservation Zones,’ offering incentives for farmers adopting sustainable agriculture practices and soil conservation measures. i) In Daspur-II and Garbeta-I, conduct periodic monitoring and assessment of water resources and soil health to ensure sustainable management and identify potential issues early. i) Designate Daspur-II and Garbeta-I as ‘Water Quality Monitoring Zones,’ establishing regular water quality testing and ensuring sustainable agriculture practices to maintain water quality. 
ii) In Chandrakona I and II, establish afforestation programs to restore degraded lands and reduce runoff, given their high circulatory ratios and flood risk. ii) In Chandrakona I and II, implement the ‘Forest Conservation Act’ to protect and restore degraded forests, reducing flood risk and promoting eco-friendly land use. ii) In Keshpur, Chandrakona Town, and Puncha, conduct awareness programs and training sessions on sustainable agriculture practices, such as organic farming and crop rotation, to reduce soil erosion and improve water quality. ii) Implement the ‘Watershed Development Program’ in Keshpur, Chandrakona Town, and Puncha, providing financial assistance for sustainable agriculture practices, soil conservation, and water harvesting structures. ii) In Lakshmisagar, implement small-scale water harvesting structures and rainwater harvesting systems to enhance water availability and reduce runoff. ii) Implement the ‘Rainwater Harvesting Scheme’ in Lakshmisagar, providing incentives for households and farmers to install rainwater harvesting systems and reduce water scarcity. 
iii) In Salbani and Vishnupur, conduct detailed hydrological studies to identify areas of high soil erosion and develop targeted conservation plans, considering their high stream numbers and runoff potential. iii) Establish the ‘Salbani and Vishnupur Watershed Management Authority’ to oversee conservation efforts, regulate water use, and ensure sustainable resource management in these high-priority sub-watersheds. iii) In Garbeta-II, Sarenga, Barisol, Simplapal, Onda, Taldangra, and Indpur, establish watershed committees to promote community-led conservation efforts and ensure sustainable resource management. iii) Establish the ‘Medium Priority Watershed Management Fund’ to provide financial support for conservation efforts, soil conservation measures, and sustainable agriculture practices in these sub-watersheds, ensuring a dedicated budget for resource management. iii) In Khatra, promote agroforestry practices and orchard development to enhance soil fertility and reduce erosion, considering its low circulatory ratio and stream order. iii) Offer ‘Agroforestry Incentives’ in Khatra, providing financial support and technical assistance to farmers adopting agroforestry practices and promoting sustainable land use. 
Priority of sub-watersheds
High
Medium
Low
The sub-watersheds having high priority are Ghatal, Chandrakona I & II, Salbani, Garbeta I & III, Vishnupur, and Amdangra. The sub-watersheds having medium priority are Daspur – I, Keshpur, Chandrakona Town, Garbeta – II, Sarenga, Barisol, Simplapal, Onda, Taldangra, Indpur, Hirabandh, and Puncha. The sub-watersheds having low priority are Daspur – II, Garbeta – I, Lakshmisagar and Khatra. 
ActionsPolicy measuresActionsPolicy measuresActionsPolicy measures
i) In Ghatal and Garbeta III, implement terracing and contour bunding to reduce soil erosion and improve water retention, considering their high bifurcation ratios and stream orders. i) Designate Ghatal and Garbeta III as ‘Erosion-Prone Zones,’ regulating land use practices to prevent soil degradation and ensure sustainable agriculture practices. i) In Daspur-I and Hirabandh, implement soil conservation measures like contour bunding and terracing, considering their moderate bifurcation ratios and stream orders. i) Designate Daspur-I and Hirabandh as ‘Soil Conservation Zones,’ offering incentives for farmers adopting sustainable agriculture practices and soil conservation measures. i) In Daspur-II and Garbeta-I, conduct periodic monitoring and assessment of water resources and soil health to ensure sustainable management and identify potential issues early. i) Designate Daspur-II and Garbeta-I as ‘Water Quality Monitoring Zones,’ establishing regular water quality testing and ensuring sustainable agriculture practices to maintain water quality. 
ii) In Chandrakona I and II, establish afforestation programs to restore degraded lands and reduce runoff, given their high circulatory ratios and flood risk. ii) In Chandrakona I and II, implement the ‘Forest Conservation Act’ to protect and restore degraded forests, reducing flood risk and promoting eco-friendly land use. ii) In Keshpur, Chandrakona Town, and Puncha, conduct awareness programs and training sessions on sustainable agriculture practices, such as organic farming and crop rotation, to reduce soil erosion and improve water quality. ii) Implement the ‘Watershed Development Program’ in Keshpur, Chandrakona Town, and Puncha, providing financial assistance for sustainable agriculture practices, soil conservation, and water harvesting structures. ii) In Lakshmisagar, implement small-scale water harvesting structures and rainwater harvesting systems to enhance water availability and reduce runoff. ii) Implement the ‘Rainwater Harvesting Scheme’ in Lakshmisagar, providing incentives for households and farmers to install rainwater harvesting systems and reduce water scarcity. 
iii) In Salbani and Vishnupur, conduct detailed hydrological studies to identify areas of high soil erosion and develop targeted conservation plans, considering their high stream numbers and runoff potential. iii) Establish the ‘Salbani and Vishnupur Watershed Management Authority’ to oversee conservation efforts, regulate water use, and ensure sustainable resource management in these high-priority sub-watersheds. iii) In Garbeta-II, Sarenga, Barisol, Simplapal, Onda, Taldangra, and Indpur, establish watershed committees to promote community-led conservation efforts and ensure sustainable resource management. iii) Establish the ‘Medium Priority Watershed Management Fund’ to provide financial support for conservation efforts, soil conservation measures, and sustainable agriculture practices in these sub-watersheds, ensuring a dedicated budget for resource management. iii) In Khatra, promote agroforestry practices and orchard development to enhance soil fertility and reduce erosion, considering its low circulatory ratio and stream order. iii) Offer ‘Agroforestry Incentives’ in Khatra, providing financial support and technical assistance to farmers adopting agroforestry practices and promoting sustainable land use. 

Small check dams, mulching, and the planting of erosion-resistant grasses are necessary in the Gangani area to prevent the significant erosion and soil degradation caused by the River Shilabati. Flood management in the Ghatal region required geomorphological and hydrological techniques with strong regional participation, moving beyond reliance on the eagerly anticipated Ghatal Master Plan. By addressing both short- and long-term issues with targeted, implementable solutions combined with comprehensive, root-cause-focused methodologies, the Ghatal Master Plan integration with river basin planning will improve flood resilience.

Discussion

Effective river basin management and soil and water conservation depend on understanding the interconnectedness of natural systems, human activities, and sustainability considerations. The SRB is vulnerable to soil erosion, groundwater depletion, and monsoonal flooding. To combat these challenges, strategic prioritization of sub-watersheds for targeted interventions is essential. While morphometric analyses and LULC studies have been explored in isolation, few studies have combined advanced techniques such as RS-GIS, PCA, and HA in a cohesive framework to assess the geomorphological, hydrological, and environmental characteristics of watersheds. The prioritization and ranking of 23 sub-watersheds were done by assigning ranks to individual indicators (MA, Arc-SWPT, PCA, LULC, and HA) and deriving a Cp value from it. The ranking of the sub-watersheds was truly determined by the relationship with erodibility, and flood probabilities, by assigning the highest priority/rank based on the highest Cp value in the case of HA and the lowest value in the case of SWPT, MA, PCA, and LULC analysis, thereby ensuring a data-driven approach to watershed management. The MA, PCA, HA, and ARC-SWPT techniques were employed to assess basin-wide soil and water conservation, with a focus on flood susceptibility, erosion, sedimentation, and resistivity to prioritize watersheds (Figure 7). While LULC plays a crucial role that basin hydro geomorphic processes influenced by humanistic perspectives, too. Prioritizing watersheds for soil and water resource conservation is a multidimensional approach that involves a comprehensive analysis of various morphometric characteristics. In this study, 12 essential morphometric parameters were examined to propose priorities for conservation efforts, considering both flood potential and erosivity for conceptual clarity. Each parameter was evaluated, with rankings and scores assigned based on their relationships between linear and relief parameters and soil erosion susceptibility. Linear parameters (drainage density, stream frequency, bifurcation ratio, drainage texture, and length of overland flow) demonstrated a positive correlation with soil erodibility and increased flood potential. During the sub-watershed prioritization process, the sub-watersheds were ranked according to their linear parameter values, with the highest values receiving a rank of 1, the second-highest a rank of 2, and so forth, with the lowest values ranked last. In contrast, shape parameters displayed a negative correlation with soil erosion. Therefore, sub-watershed prioritization was based on high linear parameter values indicating high erosion risk and high shape parameter values indicating low erosion risk. The results generated from ArcSWPT provide an auto-generated prioritization ranking. PCA identified five key components from the initial 25 morphometric parameters, collectively explaining 60% of the dataset's variability. Using a maximum likelihood classifier, a supervised image classification approach was applied for LULC analysis to investigate the effects of LULC on soil and water resources in the SRB. The results guided the identification of priority areas for sustainable management and conservation. HA provides valuable insights into a watershed's topography, influencing hydrology, ecology, and land use. Examining elevation distribution informs hydrological processes, erosion potential, and land suitability, essential for effective watershed management. The current research utilizes hydro-geomorphological approaches to evaluate flood susceptibility within the SRB. The Shilabati River's eastward flow generates unique hydrological patterns, characterized by left tributaries being susceptible to flooding, right tributaries experiencing inundation and significant runoff, and sediment deposition following the flow regime. Consequently, this underscores the need for a revised flood management strategy that prioritizes a comprehensive understanding of the interconnected hydrology between both riverbanks. The methods employed in this research provided an integrated framework for watershed prioritization, aligning with the objectives of this research. However, it has been acknowledged that more advanced methodologies, such as multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) techniques like analytic hierarchy process (AHP), Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS), QGIS Soil and Water Assessment Tool (QSWAT) analysis, synthetic unit hydrograph (SUH), Geomorphic Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph (GIUH), Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph (IUH), and semi-empirical methods like Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE), and machine learning approaches, could offer improved precision, especially for predictive studies (Bhagwat et al. 2011; Akay & Koçyigit 2020; Singh & Kansal 2023; Das & Das 2024a, 2024b). These methods have been shown to excel in flood hazard assessment and watershed management through pixel-to-pixel raster-based analysis, providing more refined spatial decision-making capabilities. Although this study did not employ MCDM or machine learning techniques due to its specific focus on watershed prioritization rather than flood prediction, these methods are highlighted as a potential direction for future research. The findings emphasize the need for holistic, data-driven watershed management in the SRB, integrating hydrological, geomorphological, and ecological perspectives to mitigate flood risks and promote sustainable land use.

This study highlights the critical importance of prioritizing sub-watersheds within the SRB for efficient management and conservation of land and water resources. By integrating advanced techniques such as RS and GIS, MA, PCA, HA, and LULC analysis, we provided a comprehensive evaluation of the basin's geomorphological, geohydrological, and geoenvironmental characteristics. Apart from these techniques, there are other methods such as the SUH and GIUH model, hazard degree, El-Shamy's approach, AHP, TOPSIS, and other machine learning techniques for basin prioritization that can be used further for future research. Our multi-analytical approach allowed for the precise identification and extraction of drainage basins, enhancing the accuracy of our prioritization process. The findings revealed significant variations in priority across the sub-watersheds. High priority was consistently assigned to Ghatal, Chandrakona I and II, Salbani, Garbeta I and III, Vishnupur, and Amdangra based on the combined results of all analytical methods used. Medium priority was given to sub-watersheds such as Daspur – I, Keshpur, Chandrakona Town, Garbeta – II, Sarenga, Barisol, Simplapal, Onda, Taldangra, Indpur, Hirabandh, and Puncha. Meanwhile, low priority was assigned to Daspur – II, Garbeta – I, Lakshmisagar, and Khatra. The drawbacks of the research work are the scarce accessibility of data, which confines the application of deep learning models. Future research work should expand the data collection process to include more micro-level watersheds, enabling the application of deep learning models for more effective flood management strategies. Ultimately, the aforementioned study presents insightful information for environmental researchers and land use planners. Sub-watershed prioritization allows stakeholders to develop programs for soil and water conservation, which ensures sustainable development and protects the watershed from erosion and flooding in the SRB and any other watershed.

All relevant data are included in the paper or its Supplementary Information.

The authors declare there is no conflict.

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Supplementary data