Table 3 presents the M = 1 GEE estimates for both diabetes outcomes. The covariates of special interest are the fluoride exposures, using the LL of per capita water consumption. In the incidence models (E = 1), adjusting for changes in physical inactivity, obesity, poverty, log population per square mile, mean number of years fluoridated and year, a 1 mg increase in the amount of added fluoride for an average county significantly increased the diabetes incidence by 0.23 per 1,000 (P < 0.001) as compared to a county without such an increase, whereas for natural fluoride the estimate was of equal magnitude and significance, but negative.

Table 3

GEE regression sets, M = 1

Outcomes: Diabetes incidence and prevalence, M = 1 (adjusted exposure in mg)
CovariatesIncidencePrevalenceIncidencePrevalence
E = 1E = 2E = 1E = 2
Added fluoride (in mg) 0.23 (0.06)*** 0.17 (0.05)*** – – 
Natural fluoride (in mg) – – − 0.23 (0.06)*** − 0.15 (0.04)*** 
AA physical inactivity 0.06 (0.01)*** 0.06 (0.01)*** 0.05 (0.01)*** 0.06 (0.01)*** 
AA obesity 0.31 (0.01)*** 0.22 (0.01)*** 0.31 (0.01)*** 0.22 (0.01)*** 
Poverty percent 0.13 (0.01)*** 0.10 (0.01)*** 0.14 (0.01)*** 0.10 (0.01)*** 
Fluoridation chemical (yes/no) 
 Sodium fluoride 0.09 (0.09) 0.11 (0.07) – – 
 Fluorosilicic acid − 0.45 (0.11)*** − 0.33 (0.08)*** – – 
 Sodium fluorosilicate − 0.13 (0.11) − 0.17 (0.08)* – – 
Years water system fluoridated − 0.005 (0.003) − 0.003 (0.002) – – 
Population per square mile (log) 0.93 (0.08)*** 0.64 (0.06)*** 0.87 (0.09)*** 0.58 (0.06)*** 
Year = 2010 − 1.85 (0.07)*** 0.33 (0.05)*** − 1.91 (0.07)*** 0.28 (0.05)*** 
Number of counties 887 887 923 923 
Number of observations 1,774 1,774 1,846 1,846 
Outcomes: Diabetes incidence and prevalence, M = 1 (adjusted exposure in mg)
CovariatesIncidencePrevalenceIncidencePrevalence
E = 1E = 2E = 1E = 2
Added fluoride (in mg) 0.23 (0.06)*** 0.17 (0.05)*** – – 
Natural fluoride (in mg) – – − 0.23 (0.06)*** − 0.15 (0.04)*** 
AA physical inactivity 0.06 (0.01)*** 0.06 (0.01)*** 0.05 (0.01)*** 0.06 (0.01)*** 
AA obesity 0.31 (0.01)*** 0.22 (0.01)*** 0.31 (0.01)*** 0.22 (0.01)*** 
Poverty percent 0.13 (0.01)*** 0.10 (0.01)*** 0.14 (0.01)*** 0.10 (0.01)*** 
Fluoridation chemical (yes/no) 
 Sodium fluoride 0.09 (0.09) 0.11 (0.07) – – 
 Fluorosilicic acid − 0.45 (0.11)*** − 0.33 (0.08)*** – – 
 Sodium fluorosilicate − 0.13 (0.11) − 0.17 (0.08)* – – 
Years water system fluoridated − 0.005 (0.003) − 0.003 (0.002) – – 
Population per square mile (log) 0.93 (0.08)*** 0.64 (0.06)*** 0.87 (0.09)*** 0.58 (0.06)*** 
Year = 2010 − 1.85 (0.07)*** 0.33 (0.05)*** − 1.91 (0.07)*** 0.28 (0.05)*** 
Number of counties 887 887 923 923 
Number of observations 1,774 1,774 1,846 1,846 

Robust standard errors in parentheses. ***P < 0.001, *P < 0.05.

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