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Table 2 also depicts the water allocation vectors obtained from SCEA for long-term water demands when medium-term and long-term predictions for the available water are expected to occur with the same probability. For the hypothetical coalition of countries containing the upstream riparian countries on the White Nile and for Ethiopia, SCEA allocated 100% of their demands when either the medium-term or long-term expected available water was materialized. While Sudan and Egypt were rewarded with 60.89% and 56.80% of their demands, respectively, if the available water predicted for the medium-term was realized. On the other hand, if the available water predicted for the long-term was realized SCEA allocated 64.91% and 60.54% of their water claims to Sudan and Egypt, respectively.

Table 2.

Water allocation vectors from SCEA, SP, SAP and SCEL for the long-term predicted water demand in the Nile river basin.

Riparian stateWater demand (million.m3) Awulachew et al. (2012) Available water (million.m3) Awulachew et al. (2012) 
Coalition of upstream states 6,823 84,100 
88,200 
Ethiopia 15,178 84,100 
88,200 
Sudan 50,992 84,100 
88,200 
Egypt 54,668 84,100 
88,200 
Core allocation vectors  
SCEASPSAPSCEL
    
Riparian stateWater demand (million.m3) Awulachew et al. (2012) Available water (million.m3) Awulachew et al. (2012) 
Coalition of upstream states 6,823 84,100 
88,200 
Ethiopia 15,178 84,100 
88,200 
Sudan 50,992 84,100 
88,200 
Egypt 54,668 84,100 
88,200 
Core allocation vectors  
SCEASPSAPSCEL
    

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