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Table 5

Analysis of climate variables

VariableProvince
GautengMpumalangaLimpopo
Mean annual rainfall (mm) between 1985–2014 701.806 803.990 635.408 
Change in rainfall (%) 2.594 −6.862 2.724 
Mean annual min. temp. (°C) 1985–2014 9.772 10.979 13.283 
Mean annual max. temp. (°C) 1985–2014 22.921 24.216 25.497 
Change in min. temp. (%) 2.867 53.054 −3.878 
Change in max. temp. (%) 3.284 10.719 −0.332 
Change in annual rainfall between 1985–1999 and 2000–2014 −57.361 −17.014 43.744 
Change in min. temp. between 1985–1999 and 2000–2014 0.021 1.107 −0.437 
Change in max. temp. between 1985–1999 and 2000–2014 0.499 0.548 0.316 
Variance test for rainfall (P (F <=f) one tail) 0.481 0.137 0.029* 
Variance test for min. temp. (P (F <=f) one tail) 0.473 0.000** 0.000** 
Variance test for max. temp. (P (F <=f) one tail) 0.437 0.348 0.285 
Covariance for rainfall and max. temp. (1985–1999) −54.484 −28.893 −32.989 
Covariance of rainfall and max. temp. (2000–2014) −72.860 −32.078 −101.122 
Covariance of rainfall and min. temp. (1985–1999) −3.498 −4.328 −13.298 
Covariance of rainfall and min. temp. (2000–2014) −0.740 −22.079 −3.501 
VariableProvince
GautengMpumalangaLimpopo
Mean annual rainfall (mm) between 1985–2014 701.806 803.990 635.408 
Change in rainfall (%) 2.594 −6.862 2.724 
Mean annual min. temp. (°C) 1985–2014 9.772 10.979 13.283 
Mean annual max. temp. (°C) 1985–2014 22.921 24.216 25.497 
Change in min. temp. (%) 2.867 53.054 −3.878 
Change in max. temp. (%) 3.284 10.719 −0.332 
Change in annual rainfall between 1985–1999 and 2000–2014 −57.361 −17.014 43.744 
Change in min. temp. between 1985–1999 and 2000–2014 0.021 1.107 −0.437 
Change in max. temp. between 1985–1999 and 2000–2014 0.499 0.548 0.316 
Variance test for rainfall (P (F <=f) one tail) 0.481 0.137 0.029* 
Variance test for min. temp. (P (F <=f) one tail) 0.473 0.000** 0.000** 
Variance test for max. temp. (P (F <=f) one tail) 0.437 0.348 0.285 
Covariance for rainfall and max. temp. (1985–1999) −54.484 −28.893 −32.989 
Covariance of rainfall and max. temp. (2000–2014) −72.860 −32.078 −101.122 
Covariance of rainfall and min. temp. (1985–1999) −3.498 −4.328 −13.298 
Covariance of rainfall and min. temp. (2000–2014) −0.740 −22.079 −3.501 

Sources:South Africa Weather Services (2015) and Elum et al. (2017).

Notes: *Significant at 5% and **significant at 1% level of testing.

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