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Table 1

Parameter estimates and sojourn times for the four models used

Monthsj1*sj2*sj3*
Maximal model 
 Nov 0.03 0.002 0.37 0.18 0.07 0.72 0.03 2.47 14.02 33.33 1.80 1.27 
 Dec 0.03 0.003 0.35 0.20 0.18 0.70 0.03 2.44 13.37 32.42 1.83 1.14 
 Jan 0.03 0.004 0.39 0.14 0.17 0.95 0.03 2.98 16.88 29.87 1.91 0.89 
 Feb 0.02 0.004 0.33 0.13 0.19 0.67 0.02 2.14 13.06 35.78 2.16 1.16 
FP model 
 Win. 0.03 0.003 0.36 0.16 0.14 0.83 0.03 2.62 15.02 33.20 1.89 1.03 
FTR model 
 Nov 0.03 0.003 0.36 0.16 0.15 0.82 0.03 2.66 15.94 33.13 1.89 1.03 
 Dec 0.03 0.003 0.36 0.16 0.15 0.82 0.03 2.67 14.35 33.13 1.89 1.03 
 Jan 0.03 0.003 0.36 0.16 0.15 0.82 0.03 2.86 16.34 33.13 1.89 1.03 
 Feb 0.03 0.003 0.36 0.16 0.15 0.82 0.03 2.29 13.45 33.13 1.89 1.03 
FAR model 
 Nov 0.03 0.003 0.38 0.17 0.07 0.80 0.03 2.61 14.97 33.58 1.82 1.15 
 Dec 0.03 0.002 0.34 0.20 0.20 0.78 0.03 2.61 14.97 35.06 1.84 1.02 
 Jan 0.03 0.005 0.39 0.16 0.13 0.97 0.03 2.61 14.97 29.34 1.83 0.91 
 Feb 0.02 0.004 0.34 0.13 0.19 0.76 0.03 2.61 14.97 35.65 2.13 1.05 
Monthsj1*sj2*sj3*
Maximal model 
 Nov 0.03 0.002 0.37 0.18 0.07 0.72 0.03 2.47 14.02 33.33 1.80 1.27 
 Dec 0.03 0.003 0.35 0.20 0.18 0.70 0.03 2.44 13.37 32.42 1.83 1.14 
 Jan 0.03 0.004 0.39 0.14 0.17 0.95 0.03 2.98 16.88 29.87 1.91 0.89 
 Feb 0.02 0.004 0.33 0.13 0.19 0.67 0.02 2.14 13.06 35.78 2.16 1.16 
FP model 
 Win. 0.03 0.003 0.36 0.16 0.14 0.83 0.03 2.62 15.02 33.20 1.89 1.03 
FTR model 
 Nov 0.03 0.003 0.36 0.16 0.15 0.82 0.03 2.66 15.94 33.13 1.89 1.03 
 Dec 0.03 0.003 0.36 0.16 0.15 0.82 0.03 2.67 14.35 33.13 1.89 1.03 
 Jan 0.03 0.003 0.36 0.16 0.15 0.82 0.03 2.86 16.34 33.13 1.89 1.03 
 Feb 0.03 0.003 0.36 0.16 0.15 0.82 0.03 2.29 13.45 33.13 1.89 1.03 
FAR model 
 Nov 0.03 0.003 0.38 0.17 0.07 0.80 0.03 2.61 14.97 33.58 1.82 1.15 
 Dec 0.03 0.002 0.34 0.20 0.20 0.78 0.03 2.61 14.97 35.06 1.84 1.02 
 Jan 0.03 0.005 0.39 0.16 0.13 0.97 0.03 2.61 14.97 29.34 1.83 0.91 
 Feb 0.02 0.004 0.34 0.13 0.19 0.76 0.03 2.61 14.97 35.65 2.13 1.05 
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