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Table 5

Impacts on runoff in the JRB based on the climate elasticity method at a confidence level of 95%

Methods			(mm)	Impacts of human activities			Impacts of climate change
Methods			(mm)	(mm)	PH (%)	(mm)	PC (%)	(mm)	PN (%)
Schreiber	2.69	−1.69	−1.35	−0.76	55.93	−0.18	13.55	−0.41	30.52
Ol'dekop	2.76	−1.76	−1.35	−0.74	54.59	−0.20	14.89	−0.41	30.52
Budyko	2.73	−1.73	−1.35	−0.75	55.18	−0.19	14.30	−0.41	30.52
Turc and Pike	2.6	−1.6	−1.35	−0.78	57.70	−0.16	11.78	−0.41	30.52
Fu	2.33	−1.33	−1.35	−0.85	63.04	−0.09	6.44	−0.41	30.52
Zhang et al.	2.68	−1.68	−1.35	−0.76	56.15	−0.18	13.33	−0.41	30.52

Methods			(mm)	Impacts of human activities			Impacts of climate change
Methods			(mm)	(mm)	PH (%)	(mm)	PC (%)	(mm)	PN (%)
Schreiber	2.69	−1.69	−1.35	−0.76	55.93	−0.18	13.55	−0.41	30.52
Ol'dekop	2.76	−1.76	−1.35	−0.74	54.59	−0.20	14.89	−0.41	30.52
Budyko	2.73	−1.73	−1.35	−0.75	55.18	−0.19	14.30	−0.41	30.52
Turc and Pike	2.6	−1.6	−1.35	−0.78	57.70	−0.16	11.78	−0.41	30.52
Fu	2.33	−1.33	−1.35	−0.85	63.04	−0.09	6.44	−0.41	30.52
Zhang et al.	2.68	−1.68	−1.35	−0.76	56.15	−0.18	13.33	−0.41	30.52