Projected change in high and low flow magnitudes and frequencies at different probability levels
| . | Change in flow magnitude (%) . | Change in flow frequency (%) . | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exceedance probability . | B1 . | A1B . | A2 . | B1 . | A1B . | A2 . |
| 2020s (2010–2039) | ||||||
| 5 | 1.3 | 2.5 | –2.4 | 2.7 | 19.0 | –5.1 |
| 10 | 1.5 | 2.1 | –3.5 | 2.1 | 4.2 | –5.3 |
| 90 | –2.4 | –12.9 | –15.9 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 5.6 |
| 95 | –7.0 | –21.8 | –36.7 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 12.1 |
| 2050s (2040–2069) | ||||||
| 5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 8.4 | 11.2 | 4.9 |
| 10 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 7.1 | 7.5 | 2.4 |
| 90 | –4.4 | –11.6 | –12.1 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 4.0 |
| 95 | –13.1 | –17.1 | –31.0 | 3.9 | 5.9 | 10.2 |
| 2080s (2070–2099) | ||||||
| 5 | 6.8 | 12.1 | 9.7 | 17.6 | 33.9 | 25.6 |
| 10 | 7.4 | 11.5 | 9.2 | 12.2 | 19.9 | 15.3 |
| 90 | –8.3 | –5.0 | –9.9 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 3.6 |
| 95 | –24.1 | –6.9 | –20.4 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 6.1 |
| . | Change in flow magnitude (%) . | Change in flow frequency (%) . | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exceedance probability . | B1 . | A1B . | A2 . | B1 . | A1B . | A2 . |
| 2020s (2010–2039) | ||||||
| 5 | 1.3 | 2.5 | –2.4 | 2.7 | 19.0 | –5.1 |
| 10 | 1.5 | 2.1 | –3.5 | 2.1 | 4.2 | –5.3 |
| 90 | –2.4 | –12.9 | –15.9 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 5.6 |
| 95 | –7.0 | –21.8 | –36.7 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 12.1 |
| 2050s (2040–2069) | ||||||
| 5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 8.4 | 11.2 | 4.9 |
| 10 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 7.1 | 7.5 | 2.4 |
| 90 | –4.4 | –11.6 | –12.1 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 4.0 |
| 95 | –13.1 | –17.1 | –31.0 | 3.9 | 5.9 | 10.2 |
| 2080s (2070–2099) | ||||||
| 5 | 6.8 | 12.1 | 9.7 | 17.6 | 33.9 | 25.6 |
| 10 | 7.4 | 11.5 | 9.2 | 12.2 | 19.9 | 15.3 |
| 90 | –8.3 | –5.0 | –9.9 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 3.6 |
| 95 | –24.1 | –6.9 | –20.4 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 6.1 |