Table 6

Forecasting values and statistical indices of the post-intervention risk mitigation IRR

Forecast: IRR post-mitigation intervention
StatisticsForecast values
Number of tests 10,000 
Base case 0.0318150 
Mean 0.0293850 
Median 0.0295470 
Mode — 
Standard deviation 0.329% 
Variance 0.0011% 
Shift −0.1431 
Kurtosis 2.62 
Coeff. of variation 0.1120 
Minimum 0.0192040 
Maximum 0.036932 
Mean standard error 0.00003 
Forecast: IRR post-mitigation intervention
StatisticsForecast values
Number of tests 10,000 
Base case 0.0318150 
Mean 0.0293850 
Median 0.0295470 
Mode — 
Standard deviation 0.329% 
Variance 0.0011% 
Shift −0.1431 
Kurtosis 2.62 
Coeff. of variation 0.1120 
Minimum 0.0192040 
Maximum 0.036932 
Mean standard error 0.00003 
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