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Table 4

Results of the land change modeler

Land-use typeRelative error in validation (%)*Area in 2010 (km2)Area in 2050 (km2)Area in 2080 (km2)
Cultivated land 1.83 1,233.01 982.42 793.84 
Shrubbery lands 3.76 163.89 181.14 193.19 
Other forest land including garden 15.98 11.10 6.31 4.55 
Middle coverage grassland 1.25 942.36 1,077.97 1,172.18 
Cities and towns 6.53 15.20 73.84 128.35 
Rural residential land 1.62 107.28 151.16 180.74 
Land-use typeRelative error in validation (%)*Area in 2010 (km2)Area in 2050 (km2)Area in 2080 (km2)
Cultivated land 1.83 1,233.01 982.42 793.84 
Shrubbery lands 3.76 163.89 181.14 193.19 
Other forest land including garden 15.98 11.10 6.31 4.55 
Middle coverage grassland 1.25 942.36 1,077.97 1,172.18 
Cities and towns 6.53 15.20 73.84 128.35 
Rural residential land 1.62 107.28 151.16 180.74 

*The relative error indicated the changes of area for each land-use type from 2010 to 2015 between modeled and real maps.

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