Changes of climatic factors in different future periods under different socio-economic scenarios based on the ensemble of six GCMs’ outputs
Periods . | Items . | Relative changes in monthly mean rainfall . | Absolute changes in monthly mean minimum temperature . | Absolute changes in monthly mean maximum temperature . | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scenarios . | A1B . | A2 . | B1 . | A1B . | A2 . | B1 . | A1B . | A2 . | B1 . | |
2050s | Jan | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.93 | 2.75 | 2.57 | 1.70 | 2.56 | 2.40 | 0.97 |
Feb | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.73 | 2.69 | 2.46 | 1.51 | 2.43 | 2.26 | 0.98 | |
Mar | 1.15 | 1.17 | 1.70 | 2.58 | 2.36 | 1.49 | 2.28 | 2.10 | 0.98 | |
Apr | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.72 | 2.60 | 2.36 | 1.50 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 0.98 | |
May | 1.09 | 1.05 | 1.64 | 2.62 | 2.34 | 1.52 | 2.46 | 2.23 | 1.00 | |
June | 1.04 | 0.98 | 1.72 | 2.63 | 2.31 | 1.74 | 2.61 | 2.36 | 1.03 | |
July | 1.00 | 0.95 | 1.89 | 2.63 | 2.35 | 2.03 | 2.74 | 2.51 | 1.05 | |
Aug | 1.00 | 0.98 | 1.86 | 2.55 | 2.34 | 2.10 | 2.80 | 2.56 | 1.03 | |
Sep | 1.07 | 1.08 | 1.77 | 2.46 | 2.24 | 1.97 | 2.70 | 2.36 | 0.99 | |
Oct | 1.09 | 1.09 | 1.84 | 2.49 | 2.28 | 1.88 | 2.56 | 2.24 | 0.97 | |
Nov | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.89 | 2.61 | 2.46 | 1.80 | 2.56 | 2.35 | 0.97 | |
Dec | 1.17 | 1.15 | 1.94 | 2.69 | 2.59 | 1.79 | 2.59 | 2.45 | 0.97 | |
2080s | Jan | 1.31 | 1.30 | 2.71 | 4.09 | 4.72 | 2.64 | 3.94 | 4.36 | 0.97 |
Feb | 1.30 | 1.24 | 2.70 | 3.90 | 4.70 | 2.57 | 3.66 | 4.30 | 0.98 | |
Mar | 1.25 | 1.23 | 2.70 | 3.73 | 4.55 | 2.48 | 3.39 | 4.16 | 0.99 | |
Apr | 1.19 | 1.19 | 2.58 | 3.74 | 4.43 | 2.31 | 3.43 | 4.10 | 1.00 | |
May | 1.13 | 1.13 | 2.39 | 3.64 | 4.30 | 2.25 | 3.53 | 4.16 | 1.00 | |
June | 1.07 | 1.09 | 2.36 | 3.59 | 4.20 | 2.40 | 3.69 | 4.29 | 1.02 | |
July | 1.01 | 1.04 | 2.56 | 3.65 | 4.33 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 4.56 | 1.04 | |
Aug | 1.04 | 1.02 | 2.66 | 3.68 | 4.47 | 2.87 | 3.93 | 4.75 | 1.04 | |
Sep | 1.11 | 1.09 | 2.52 | 3.69 | 4.30 | 2.74 | 3.90 | 4.54 | 1.01 | |
Oct | 1.10 | 1.15 | 2.44 | 3.69 | 4.15 | 2.56 | 3.74 | 4.29 | 0.99 | |
Nov | 1.13 | 1.24 | 2.52 | 3.76 | 4.29 | 2.52 | 3.68 | 4.29 | 0.98 | |
Dec | 1.24 | 1.34 | 2.64 | 3.95 | 4.55 | 2.60 | 3.85 | 4.35 | 0.97 |
Periods . | Items . | Relative changes in monthly mean rainfall . | Absolute changes in monthly mean minimum temperature . | Absolute changes in monthly mean maximum temperature . | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scenarios . | A1B . | A2 . | B1 . | A1B . | A2 . | B1 . | A1B . | A2 . | B1 . | |
2050s | Jan | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.93 | 2.75 | 2.57 | 1.70 | 2.56 | 2.40 | 0.97 |
Feb | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.73 | 2.69 | 2.46 | 1.51 | 2.43 | 2.26 | 0.98 | |
Mar | 1.15 | 1.17 | 1.70 | 2.58 | 2.36 | 1.49 | 2.28 | 2.10 | 0.98 | |
Apr | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.72 | 2.60 | 2.36 | 1.50 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 0.98 | |
May | 1.09 | 1.05 | 1.64 | 2.62 | 2.34 | 1.52 | 2.46 | 2.23 | 1.00 | |
June | 1.04 | 0.98 | 1.72 | 2.63 | 2.31 | 1.74 | 2.61 | 2.36 | 1.03 | |
July | 1.00 | 0.95 | 1.89 | 2.63 | 2.35 | 2.03 | 2.74 | 2.51 | 1.05 | |
Aug | 1.00 | 0.98 | 1.86 | 2.55 | 2.34 | 2.10 | 2.80 | 2.56 | 1.03 | |
Sep | 1.07 | 1.08 | 1.77 | 2.46 | 2.24 | 1.97 | 2.70 | 2.36 | 0.99 | |
Oct | 1.09 | 1.09 | 1.84 | 2.49 | 2.28 | 1.88 | 2.56 | 2.24 | 0.97 | |
Nov | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.89 | 2.61 | 2.46 | 1.80 | 2.56 | 2.35 | 0.97 | |
Dec | 1.17 | 1.15 | 1.94 | 2.69 | 2.59 | 1.79 | 2.59 | 2.45 | 0.97 | |
2080s | Jan | 1.31 | 1.30 | 2.71 | 4.09 | 4.72 | 2.64 | 3.94 | 4.36 | 0.97 |
Feb | 1.30 | 1.24 | 2.70 | 3.90 | 4.70 | 2.57 | 3.66 | 4.30 | 0.98 | |
Mar | 1.25 | 1.23 | 2.70 | 3.73 | 4.55 | 2.48 | 3.39 | 4.16 | 0.99 | |
Apr | 1.19 | 1.19 | 2.58 | 3.74 | 4.43 | 2.31 | 3.43 | 4.10 | 1.00 | |
May | 1.13 | 1.13 | 2.39 | 3.64 | 4.30 | 2.25 | 3.53 | 4.16 | 1.00 | |
June | 1.07 | 1.09 | 2.36 | 3.59 | 4.20 | 2.40 | 3.69 | 4.29 | 1.02 | |
July | 1.01 | 1.04 | 2.56 | 3.65 | 4.33 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 4.56 | 1.04 | |
Aug | 1.04 | 1.02 | 2.66 | 3.68 | 4.47 | 2.87 | 3.93 | 4.75 | 1.04 | |
Sep | 1.11 | 1.09 | 2.52 | 3.69 | 4.30 | 2.74 | 3.90 | 4.54 | 1.01 | |
Oct | 1.10 | 1.15 | 2.44 | 3.69 | 4.15 | 2.56 | 3.74 | 4.29 | 0.99 | |
Nov | 1.13 | 1.24 | 2.52 | 3.76 | 4.29 | 2.52 | 3.68 | 4.29 | 0.98 | |
Dec | 1.24 | 1.34 | 2.64 | 3.95 | 4.55 | 2.60 | 3.85 | 4.35 | 0.97 |