Table 6

Mean annual rainfall and temperature projections by the various RCMs for the period 2020–2049 relative to the 1981–2010 period

VariablesBaseline (1981–2010)RCP4.5 (2020–2049)
REMO2009RACMO22TWRF- HadGEMWRF-GFDLSDSM-DCEnsemble mean
Tmax (°C) 34.6 36.3 (1.7) 35.6 (1.0) 36.3 (1.6) 35.9 (1.3) 35.5 (0.8) 35.9 (1.3) 
Tmin (°C) 22.6 24.0 (1.5) 24.1 (1.6) 24.1 (1.5) 24.0 (1.4) 23.5 (1.0) 24.0 (1.4) 
Tmean (°C) 28.6 30.2 (1.6) 29.9 (1.3) 30.2 (1.6) 29.9 (1.3) 29.5 (0.9) 29.9 (1.3) 
Rainfall (mm) 941.5 941.2 (0.0%) 907.9 ( − 3.5%) 1,082.9 (15.0%) 992.2 (5.4%) 826.2 ( − 12.3%) 981.1 (4.2%) 
VariablesBaseline (1981–2010)RCP4.5 (2020–2049)
REMO2009RACMO22TWRF- HadGEMWRF-GFDLSDSM-DCEnsemble mean
Tmax (°C) 34.6 36.3 (1.7) 35.6 (1.0) 36.3 (1.6) 35.9 (1.3) 35.5 (0.8) 35.9 (1.3) 
Tmin (°C) 22.6 24.0 (1.5) 24.1 (1.6) 24.1 (1.5) 24.0 (1.4) 23.5 (1.0) 24.0 (1.4) 
Tmean (°C) 28.6 30.2 (1.6) 29.9 (1.3) 30.2 (1.6) 29.9 (1.3) 29.5 (0.9) 29.9 (1.3) 
Rainfall (mm) 941.5 941.2 (0.0%) 907.9 ( − 3.5%) 1,082.9 (15.0%) 992.2 (5.4%) 826.2 ( − 12.3%) 981.1 (4.2%) 

Note: The projected changes in rainfall and temperature values are in the bracket.

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