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Table 6

Performance of post-processed probabilistic forecasts evaluated considering a probability threshold as binary classifier and performance for deterministic Gamma fitted and raw forecasts compared to the rainfall threshold

	d (h)		TP	FN	FP	TPR	FPR	D2PC
Probabilistic forecast	3	0.1	14	3	34	0.82	0.26	0.32
	6	0.15	6	4	27	0.60	0.28	0.49
	12	0.25	39	17	48	0.70	0.25	0.39
		(mm)	TP	FN	FP	TPR	FPR	DPC
	3	42	1	16	5	0.06	0.04	0.94
	6	53	2	8	0	0.20	0.00	0.80
	12	66	17	39	16	0.30	0.08	0.70
		(mm)	TP	FN	FP	TPR	FPR	DPC
	3	42	0	17	0	0.00	0.00	1.00
	6	53	1	9	0	0.10	0.00	0.90
	12	66	12	44	1	0.21	0.01	0.79
		(mm)	TP	FN	FP	TPR	FPR	DPC
	3	42	1	16	0	0.06	0.00	0.94
	6	53	2	8	1	0.20	0.01	0.80
	12	66	19	37	16	0.34	0.18	0.68

	d (h)		TP	FN	FP	TPR	FPR	D2PC
Probabilistic forecast	3	0.1	14	3	34	0.82	0.26	0.32
	6	0.15	6	4	27	0.60	0.28	0.49
	12	0.25	39	17	48	0.70	0.25	0.39
		(mm)	TP	FN	FP	TPR	FPR	DPC
	3	42	1	16	5	0.06	0.04	0.94
	6	53	2	8	0	0.20	0.00	0.80
	12	66	17	39	16	0.30	0.08	0.70
		(mm)	TP	FN	FP	TPR	FPR	DPC
	3	42	0	17	0	0.00	0.00	1.00
	6	53	1	9	0	0.10	0.00	0.90
	12	66	12	44	1	0.21	0.01	0.79
		(mm)	TP	FN	FP	TPR	FPR	DPC
	3	42	1	16	0	0.06	0.00	0.94
	6	53	2	8	1	0.20	0.01	0.80
	12	66	19	37	16	0.34	0.18	0.68