The silhouette analysis was again performed to obtain an accurate number of K-means clustering for the eight 5-year sub-periods in a similar way used for the 10-year sub-periods and the full-time period. Our analysis indicates that the cosine distance method gave the best result for the six 5-year sub-periods, including 1980–1984, 1985–1989,1990–1994, 1995–1999, 2000–2004, and 2015–2020 (Table 3). For the 2005–2009 and 2010–2014 sub-periods, however, the correlation distance method identified the cluster numbers more accurately.
The silhouette analysis for the eight 5-year sub-periods with the resulting optimum distance method (highlighted in bold and italics)
5-year sub-periods . | Distance method . | Silhoutte information . | Cluster members . | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 . | 4 . | 5 . | 6 . | 7 . | 8 . | |||
1980–1984 | Cosine | Average silhouette value | 0.342 | 0.298 | 0.295 | 0.271 | 0.273 | 0.255 |
Number of negative value | 5 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 13 | ||
1985–1989 | Cosine | Average silhouette value | 0.290 | 0.288 | 0.312 | 0.266 | 0.246 | 0.252 |
Number of negative value | 7 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | ||
1990–1994 | Cosine | Average silhouette value | 0.276 | 0.295 | 0.315 | 0.325 | 0.299 | 0.307 |
Number of negative value | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 5 | ||
1995–1999 | Cosine | Average silhouette value | 0.285 | 0.274 | 0.284 | 0.266 | 0.258 | 0.269 |
Number of negative value | 11 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 5 | ||
2000–2004 | Correlation | Average silhouette value | 0.228 | 0.281 | 0.321 | 0.285 | 0.312 | 0.263 |
Number of negative value | 26 | 23 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 8 | ||
2005–2009 | Correlation | Average silhouette value | 0.214 | 0.258 | 0.282 | 0.274 | 0.242 | 0.254 |
Number of negative value | 23 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 14 | ||
2010–2014 | Cosine | Average silhouette value | 0.247 | 0.255 | 0.265 | 0.268 | 0.258 | 0.241 |
Number of negative value | 15 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 9 | ||
2015–2020 | Cosine | Average silhouette value | 0.290 | 0.300 | 0.287 | 0.307 | 0.310 | 0.265 |
Number of negative value | 12 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 19 |
5-year sub-periods . | Distance method . | Silhoutte information . | Cluster members . | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 . | 4 . | 5 . | 6 . | 7 . | 8 . | |||
1980–1984 | Cosine | Average silhouette value | 0.342 | 0.298 | 0.295 | 0.271 | 0.273 | 0.255 |
Number of negative value | 5 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 13 | ||
1985–1989 | Cosine | Average silhouette value | 0.290 | 0.288 | 0.312 | 0.266 | 0.246 | 0.252 |
Number of negative value | 7 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | ||
1990–1994 | Cosine | Average silhouette value | 0.276 | 0.295 | 0.315 | 0.325 | 0.299 | 0.307 |
Number of negative value | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 5 | ||
1995–1999 | Cosine | Average silhouette value | 0.285 | 0.274 | 0.284 | 0.266 | 0.258 | 0.269 |
Number of negative value | 11 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 5 | ||
2000–2004 | Correlation | Average silhouette value | 0.228 | 0.281 | 0.321 | 0.285 | 0.312 | 0.263 |
Number of negative value | 26 | 23 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 8 | ||
2005–2009 | Correlation | Average silhouette value | 0.214 | 0.258 | 0.282 | 0.274 | 0.242 | 0.254 |
Number of negative value | 23 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 14 | ||
2010–2014 | Cosine | Average silhouette value | 0.247 | 0.255 | 0.265 | 0.268 | 0.258 | 0.241 |
Number of negative value | 15 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 9 | ||
2015–2020 | Cosine | Average silhouette value | 0.290 | 0.300 | 0.287 | 0.307 | 0.310 | 0.265 |
Number of negative value | 12 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 19 |