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The REA method was applied to assign weights to the top five GCMs corresponding to three time slices (2020–2049, 2050–2079, and 2070–2099) and RCPs 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, respectively, and these weights are shown in Tables 3 and 4, respectively.

Table 3

Weights assigned to each of the selected top five GCMs for different time slices corresponding to the RCP 4.5 scenario

GCM/YearNOrESM1-Mbcc-csm1-1CNRM-CM5MIROC-ESMGFDL-CM3
2020–2049 0.1655 0.2194 0.2383 0.2074 0.1694 
2050–2079 0.1713 0.2407 0.2176 0.2080 0.1623 
2070–2099 0.1422 0.2406 0.2625 0.1886 0.1661 
GCM/YearNOrESM1-Mbcc-csm1-1CNRM-CM5MIROC-ESMGFDL-CM3
2020–2049 0.1655 0.2194 0.2383 0.2074 0.1694 
2050–2079 0.1713 0.2407 0.2176 0.2080 0.1623 
2070–2099 0.1422 0.2406 0.2625 0.1886 0.1661 
Table 4

Weights assigned to each of the selected top five GCMs for different time slices corresponding to the RCP 8.5 scenario

GCM/YearNOrESM1-Mbcc-csm1-1CNRM-CM5MIROC-ESMGFDL-CM3
2020–2049 0.1179 0.1103 0.5224 0.1379 0.1116 
2050–2079 0.2129 0.232 0.1991 0.1870 0.1691 
2070–2099 0.1385 0.2426 0.2102 0.1826 0.2261 
GCM/YearNOrESM1-Mbcc-csm1-1CNRM-CM5MIROC-ESMGFDL-CM3
2020–2049 0.1179 0.1103 0.5224 0.1379 0.1116 
2050–2079 0.2129 0.232 0.1991 0.1870 0.1691 
2070–2099 0.1385 0.2426 0.2102 0.1826 0.2261 

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