Next, for the detailed and approximate components of annual and monsoon season data series from two homogenous regions (NE India and Central NE India), Sen's slopes were computed and the MK test was performed. The results of these are summarized in Table 7. It can be seen that all four approximate components had a declining trend. Furthermore, the A3 + D1 and A3 + D1 + D2 series also showed a statistically significant (all but one case) declining trend. In all the cases, Sen's slope had a high negative value.

Table 7

Key statistical change parameters for NE and central NE data series

Region and component seriesSen's slopeMK test: p- and Z-value
p-valueZ-value
NE – Annual 
A3 −6.539 0.00134 −3.208 
A3 + D1 −7.296 0.0155 −2.419 
A3 + D1 + D2 −7.653 0.0311 −2.155 
NE – JJAS 
A3 −5.534 0.383 × 10−5 −4.118 
A3 + D1 −6.934 0.0005 −3.479 
A3 + D1 + D2 −7.55 0.004 −2.856 
Central NE – Annual 
A3 −5.841 1.37 × 10−7 −5.269 
A3 + D1 −5.179 0.0196 −2.335 
A3 + D1 + D2 −4.622 0.0627 −1.861 
Central NE – JJAS 
A3 −5.482 −2.29 × 10−7 −5.174 
A3 + D1 −5.219 0.0066 −2.717 
A3 + D1 + D2 −5.127 0.022 −2.284 
Region and component seriesSen's slopeMK test: p- and Z-value
p-valueZ-value
NE – Annual 
A3 −6.539 0.00134 −3.208 
A3 + D1 −7.296 0.0155 −2.419 
A3 + D1 + D2 −7.653 0.0311 −2.155 
NE – JJAS 
A3 −5.534 0.383 × 10−5 −4.118 
A3 + D1 −6.934 0.0005 −3.479 
A3 + D1 + D2 −7.55 0.004 −2.856 
Central NE – Annual 
A3 −5.841 1.37 × 10−7 −5.269 
A3 + D1 −5.179 0.0196 −2.335 
A3 + D1 + D2 −4.622 0.0627 −1.861 
Central NE – JJAS 
A3 −5.482 −2.29 × 10−7 −5.174 
A3 + D1 −5.219 0.0066 −2.717 
A3 + D1 + D2 −5.127 0.022 −2.284 

Note: All component series had a falling trend.

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