According to the flow reconstruction method, the natural flow change process of the MRYR without the influence of the TGR is obtained. Then, combined with 34 environmental flow parameters and ecological flow indicators, a variety of flow reconstruction scenarios (Table 4) were set up, and the comparison of each group of scenarios was used to quantitatively evaluate the impacts of the TGR operation and changes in other natural factors on the ecological and hydrological situation.

Table 4

Different scenarios of flow in the MRYR

GroupsScenariosFlow process in the MRYR
Group 1 Q1 Measured flow process from 1965 to 2002 (Obspre-TGR
Q2 Measured flow process from 2003 to 2019 (Obspost-TGR
Q3 Reconstruction flow process 1965–2002 (Simpre-TGR
Q4 Reconstruction flow process 2003–2019 (Simpost-TGR
Group 2 S1 Measured EFC changes 
S2 Variation of EFC only under the influence of changes in natural factors 
S3 EFC changes under TGR influence 
Group 3 E1 Measured changes in ecosurplus and ecodeficit 
E2 Variation of ecosurplus and ecodeficit only under the influence of changes in natural factors 
E3 Ecosurplus and ecodeficit changes under TGR influence 
GroupsScenariosFlow process in the MRYR
Group 1 Q1 Measured flow process from 1965 to 2002 (Obspre-TGR
Q2 Measured flow process from 2003 to 2019 (Obspost-TGR
Q3 Reconstruction flow process 1965–2002 (Simpre-TGR
Q4 Reconstruction flow process 2003–2019 (Simpost-TGR
Group 2 S1 Measured EFC changes 
S2 Variation of EFC only under the influence of changes in natural factors 
S3 EFC changes under TGR influence 
Group 3 E1 Measured changes in ecosurplus and ecodeficit 
E2 Variation of ecosurplus and ecodeficit only under the influence of changes in natural factors 
E3 Ecosurplus and ecodeficit changes under TGR influence 

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