Decision rule (1) above states that if the amount of monthly precipitation at Bandar Abbas is equal or less than 3.55 mm and the monthly precipitation at Kish Island is equal or less than 0.15 mm, then monthly precipitation in Bandar Lengeh is calculated from Equation (12). Rule 2 states that if the monthly precipitation at Kish Island is equal to or less than 24.7, then the monthly precipitation at Bandar Lengeh is calculated using Equation (13). According to rule 3, in other situations, the amount of monthly precipitation at Bandar Lengeh is computed using Equation (14). The results obtained from various classic statistical methods and the M5 decision tree model are presented in Table 5.
Performance criteria values for different methods of estimating missing monthly rainfall data
Method . | R . | N-S . | RMSE (mm) . | MAE (mm) . | Mean (mm) . | Variance (mm) . | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Test phase | – | – | – | – | 5.682 | 14.838 | |
Classical statistical methods | AA | 0.95 | 0.86 | 5.65 | 2.78 | 7.136 | 17.135 |
MLR | 0.93 | 0.87 | 5.49 | 2.61 | 5.897 | 13.026 | |
NIPALS | 0.94 | 0.86 | 5.61 | 3.25 | 7.149 | 15.602 | |
NR | 0.90 | 0.73 | 7.992 | 3.82 | 8.32 | 17.091 | |
IDWM | 0.90 | 0.75 | 7.70 | 3.85 | 8.065 | 16.792 | |
MI | 0.83 | 0.53 | 10.56 | 8.41 | 12.508 | 13.3 | |
LR | 0.65 | 0.46 | 11.22 | 50.00 | 4.985 | 8.142 | |
UK | 0.65 | 0.47 | 11.16 | 4.97 | 4.525 | 8.846 | |
SIB | 0.65 | 0.47 | 11.19 | 4.60 | 5.553 | 10.855 | |
Data mining method | M5 | 0.95 | 0.89 | 5.01 | 2.48 | 4.621 | 12.293 |
Method . | R . | N-S . | RMSE (mm) . | MAE (mm) . | Mean (mm) . | Variance (mm) . | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Test phase | – | – | – | – | 5.682 | 14.838 | |
Classical statistical methods | AA | 0.95 | 0.86 | 5.65 | 2.78 | 7.136 | 17.135 |
MLR | 0.93 | 0.87 | 5.49 | 2.61 | 5.897 | 13.026 | |
NIPALS | 0.94 | 0.86 | 5.61 | 3.25 | 7.149 | 15.602 | |
NR | 0.90 | 0.73 | 7.992 | 3.82 | 8.32 | 17.091 | |
IDWM | 0.90 | 0.75 | 7.70 | 3.85 | 8.065 | 16.792 | |
MI | 0.83 | 0.53 | 10.56 | 8.41 | 12.508 | 13.3 | |
LR | 0.65 | 0.46 | 11.22 | 50.00 | 4.985 | 8.142 | |
UK | 0.65 | 0.47 | 11.16 | 4.97 | 4.525 | 8.846 | |
SIB | 0.65 | 0.47 | 11.19 | 4.60 | 5.553 | 10.855 | |
Data mining method | M5 | 0.95 | 0.89 | 5.01 | 2.48 | 4.621 | 12.293 |