Risk analysis is essential to reservoir operation. In this study, a new analysis for reservoir operation is proposed to enhance the utilization rate of the flood water from the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) during the flood season. Based on five scenarios of hydrology forecasting with the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), a multi-objective optimum operation was implemented employing the risk control constraints of the genetic algorithm (GA) for the TGR. The results of this analysis indicated that the optimum hydropower generation was 5.7% higher than the usual operating hydropower generation, which suggested that, during flood season, it would be beneficial to increase hydropower generation from reservoirs, while maintaining a safe degree of flood risk.
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Research Article|
November 30 2015
A real-time operation of the Three Gorges Reservoir with flood risk analysis Available to Purchase
Yixiang Sun;
1College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanning 210098, China
E-mail: [email protected]
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Deshan Tang;
Deshan Tang
1College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanning 210098, China
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Huichao Dai;
Huichao Dai
2Innovative Research Team in Ministry of Education College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanning 210098, China
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Pan Liu;
Pan Liu
3State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China
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Yifei Sun;
Yifei Sun
4Heilongjiang Provincial Qing Da Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering Corporation Limited, Harbin 150000, China
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Qingfeng Cui;
Qingfeng Cui
5Heilongjiang Provincial San Jiang Engineering Construction Administration Bureau, Harbin 150000, China
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Fanping Zhang;
Fanping Zhang
6Jiangxi Provincial Institute of Water Sciences, Nanchang 330000, China
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Yifan Ding;
Yifan Ding
1College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanning 210098, China
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Yuhang Wei;
Yuhang Wei
1College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanning 210098, China
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Jinxin Zhang;
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Jinxin Zhang
1College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanning 210098, China
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Mei Wang;
Mei Wang
1College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanning 210098, China
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Aodian Li;
Aodian Li
1College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanning 210098, China
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Zhenzhu Meng
Zhenzhu Meng
1College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanning 210098, China
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Water Supply (2016) 16 (2): 551–562.
Article history
Received:
May 13 2015
Accepted:
November 13 2015
Citation
Yixiang Sun, Deshan Tang, Huichao Dai, Pan Liu, Yifei Sun, Qingfeng Cui, Fanping Zhang, Yifan Ding, Yuhang Wei, Jinxin Zhang, Mei Wang, Aodian Li, Zhenzhu Meng; A real-time operation of the Three Gorges Reservoir with flood risk analysis. Water Supply 1 April 2016; 16 (2): 551–562. doi: https://doi.org/10.2166/ws.2015.172
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