Free overfalls are hydraulic structures used in flood control, water supply, irrigation, and flow measurements. The hydraulic systems of free overfall depend on rectangular end shape. The studies that dealt with triangular crest are few and almost non-existent. In this study, a triangular end-shape design uses multiple linear regression (MLR) and group method of data handling (GMDH) methods for four models with six sub-models. Then, 24 scenarios were chosen and compared. The discharge coefficient (Cd) of a free overfall with a triangular terminal was predicted using experimental data. The triangular end edge shape increased crest length, the discharge coefficient, and discharge passing over free overfall. To this goal, 180 triangular free fall tests were performed. Data were collected for two triangular free overfalls with an opposite flow direction with three angles 600, 750, and 900. Results of Cd acquired using the two ways discussed above show that the algorithm GMDH outperforms the other method. Values for the GMDH approach mod46 testing variables: RMSE, MARE, SI, R2, and NSE are 6.08 × 10−17, 2.65 × 10−17, 6.00 × 10−17, 100.00%, and 1.00, respectively, while these values for MLR are 0.06332, 0.05970, 0.06624, 15.431%, and −3.0419, respectively. The GMDH technique shows the best results concerning MLR and then chooses the best four scenarios from 24 with a Cd percentage error not exceeding ±2%.

  • A new triangular end-shape design uses multiple linear regression (MLR) and group method of data handling (GMDH) methods for four models with six sub-models.

  • Twenty-four scenarios were chosen and compared.

  • The discharge coefficient (Cd) of a free overfall with a triangular terminal was predicted.

  • The GMDH technique shows the best results concerning MLR and then chooses the best four scenarios from 24 with a Cd percentage error not exceeding ±2%.

the angle of the brink edge in rad

coefficient of discharge

constants

and

the mean both natural and examined Cd values, respectively

b

canal breadth (L)

Cc

coefficient of contraction

E

specific energy (L)

EDR

end depth ratio

Frb

Froude number

g

the acceleration of gravitational forces (L/T2)

GMDH

group method of data handling

H

head over the standard weir (L)

L

crest breadth (L)

MLR

multiple linear regression

MARE

mean absolute relative error

NSE

Nash–Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient

P

height of the fall (L)

Qact.

actual discharge (L3/T)

R2

determinant coefficient

RMSE

root mean square error

SI

scatter index

V

speed of flow (L/T)

vn

the flow normal velocity (L/T)

xi and yi

both natural and examined Cd values, respectively

yb

brink depth (L)

ybcl

brink depth at the centre line (L)

ybrl

brink depth at the left or right centre line (L)

yn

the normal depth (L)

upstream face slope

viscosity (M/LT)

the density of the water (M/L3)

Free overfalls or drops are a hydraulic structure widely used in an open channel when there are changes in channel bed levels; they can also use as a measurement device in irrigational channels. Many studies dealt with the hydraulics of free fall with different shapes. Beirami et al. (2006) studied free overfall theoretically for circular, semicircular, triangular, rectangular, and trapezoidal cross-sections to predict end depth ratio (EDR). The results refer to EDR values as 0.7016 in the rectangular shape, 0.8051 in the triangular shape, and 0.7642 in the exponential channel. Dey et al. (2004) investigated free overfall in inverted semicircular canals to predict EDR. The results showed that these values were near 0.695. Rajaratnam & Chamani (1996) and Dey & Kumar (2002) presented energy loss at drop and analysis of EDR in triangular free overfall in two methods. The first depends on the assumption of pseudo-uniform flow, and the second depends on assumed to be similar to the flow over a sharp-crested weir; the results show that the EDR value 0.695. Mohammed (2012) presented the theoretical study and showed equations for EDR and end depth discharge relationship for free overfall with different end shapes. Mohammed (2009) studied the hydraulic characteristics of triangular end lip free overfall with different angles, the EDR and water surface profile (WSP) were studied.

The theoretical data showed a result error of ±5% compared with the experimental. Some of the studies dealt with air entrainment from free overfall, such as Chanson (1993, 2004, 2007). In contrast, other studies refer to the turbulent diffusivity of the air bubble increasing with increasing distance from the point of singularity (Chanson & Toombes 1998; Gualtieri & Chanson 2004; Toombes & Chanson 2005). The studies dealt with erosion and scouring in free overfall and gave a technique for estimating discharge from known end depth equivalent sand roughness (van der Poel & Schwab 1985; Peter 1999). Ghodsian et al. (1999) investigate the effect of Froude number, total head to tailwater depth, and bed material size to tailwater depth parameters on scour backside of a free overfall and predicted equations to scour hole calculation. The effectiveness of free overfall roughness was studied by Dey (2000), Firat (2004), Guo et al. (2006), and Mohammed et al. (2011); these studies show that the EDR was substantially influenced by the spread, intensity, and distribution style of bed materials. The free overfall with various slopes and bed rough spread was investigated in Mohammed (2013), and the EDR and discharge equations with bed rough were predicted. The results showed that EDR values increased when bed rough increased. Other studies dealt with free overfall theoretical analysis (Ferro 1999) and using volume-of-fluid (VOF) (Sousa et al. 2009) as well as using artificial neural network (ANN) (Raikar et al. 2004; Öztürk 2005; Mohammed 2018); all these studies showed a good agreement between theoretical and experimental data. The discharge coefficient of the combined weir and gate structure was studied experimentally and theoretically by Balouchi & Rakhshandehroo (2018). The theoretical model was compared between multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and support vector regression (SVR) methods and given good agreement of Cd values calculated experimentally and theoretically. The ANNs and the M5P model tree application for calculating scour holes at river convergence were studied by Balouchi et al. (2015). The results showed that the MLP model was the most effective in the low scour depth range, while the radial basis function (RBF) model was more effective in the more excellent scour depth range, as measured by various statistical indices (RMSE, MAE, MARE, and R2). Recently, there have been many studies in different fields dealing with group method of data handling (GMDH) to forecasting the behaviours of a complex system, such as Amanifard et al. (2008) and Kaveh et al. (2018) which is studied shear strength predicted for fibre-reinforced plastic (FRP) reinforced concrete, Srinivasan (2008) and Najafzadeh et al. (2013), which they studied the GMDH in energy conservation and engineering geology. Ebtehaj et al. (2015) studied predicting the discharge coefficient in a side weir using GMDH by four input parameters then one output parameter predicted (Cd) experimentally and theoretically, their results lead to an acceptable degree of accuracy (R2 0.779, MAPE 5.263, RMSE 0.038, E 0.757, and SI 0.069). The flowrate coefficient for the piano key lateral weir was investigated using the GMDH and developed group method of data handling (DGMDH) techniques by Mehri et al. (2019), the results of R2, MAE, and RMSE values for the GMDH technique are 0.875, 0.0501, and 0.0792, while these values of the DGMDH technique are 0.938, 0.0372, and 0.053, this results given successfully of the DGMDH technique comparison with the GMDH technique. Teng et al. (2017) submitted a study for compared four methods, ANN, GMDH, multiple linear regression (MLR), and support vector machine (SVM), for forecasting China's transport energy demand. The results are compared according to R2 and RMSE, and then the GMDH technique gives better performance compared with other techniques. The present study aims to a predicted coefficient of discharge experimentally and compares these results using MLR and GMDH, by using four models with six common algorithms that may be created, then there are 24 outputs. A group of GMDH models are used in this work, with the free overfall modified to triangular end edge shaped, which led to increase the edge length then increased the discharge coefficient and then increased discharge passing over free overfall.

Experimental methodology

The experiment dose carries out in a rectangular facility channel 10 m long, 0.3 m broad, and 0.45 m deep. A typical thin weir (0.15*0.3*0.01) m was placed at the channel's terminus to measure the flow rate (Figure 1).
Figure 1

The laboratory channel.

Figure 1

The laboratory channel.

Close modal
The free overfall made from wood in six models fixed at 6 m from the upstream channel entrance has dimensions (1*0.3*0.15) m, with triangular end lip inclined outside and inside at (60°, 75°, and 90°) (Figure 2).
Figure 2

The experimental modes of free overfall used in the present study. (a) The triangular edge of the notch concerning the flow path. (b) The triangular edge of the notch is angled in the reverse flow path.

Figure 2

The experimental modes of free overfall used in the present study. (a) The triangular edge of the notch concerning the flow path. (b) The triangular edge of the notch is angled in the reverse flow path.

Close modal
Five values of upstream water depth were measured using a point gauge, and the discharges ranged from 7.3 to 16.5 l/s to the actual runoff. It was calculated using Equation (1):
(1)
where Qact. is the real discharge (Sutopo et al. 2022), and H is the water depth over the weir (Widyastuti et al. 2022).

The other parameters measured in this study are water depth over the brink of the free overfall (yb) at channel centre (ybcl), water depth at the mid-distance from the centre of the model referring to the angle of the template lip (ybrl), and normal water level over the free overfall (yn).

First the free overfall was fixed with 60° end lip edge with flow direction (Figure 2(a)) and five flow discharges then measured typical depth, brink depth at centre, and brink depth left and right of the centre line, then another model in the opposite flow direction was fixed (Figure 2(b)) and measured the previous parameters, then repeat procedures with 75° and 90°.

Theoretical methodology

According to prior research by Ferro (1999), flow through an overfall in a rectangular channel is similar to flow over a thin weir for free rectangular overfall.

The velocity of flow is defined by applying the energy equation (Chow 1959; Ferro 1999):
(2)
where E and H are specific energy and energy head; V is the velocity of flow; and g is the acceleration due to gravity.

The conception of the runoff over a thin weir assumes a zero-pressure variation and parallel streamlines at the edge, ignoring the nappe contraction.

The discharge dQ can be determined using the following continuity equation using a basic cross-section dA at a vertical height z (Chow 1959; Ferro 1999):
(3)
The arrangement of zero pressure and uniform standardizes at the apex of the cliff is explained by these hypotheses; it was possible to integrate Equation (2) from the channel bed (z = 0) to the normal depth (z = yn). Then, the runoff Q is evaluated as (Chow 1959; Ferro 1999):
(4)
By integrating Equation (3), the given equation may be written as follows (Chow 1959; Ferro 1999):
(5)
where b is the breadth of the canal and Cc is the contraction coefficient.

Dimensional analysis

The factors that influence the flow of water at a free overfall are: yb is the water depth over the edge (L); Q is flowrate (L3/T); yn is the consistent height of flow (L); P is the height of the fall (L); vn is the normal velocity of flow (L/T); g is the acceleration due to gravity (L/T2); is the viscosity in a dynamic state (M/LT); is the water's density (M/L3); and angle of the brink edge in rad.

Then the equation is written as
(6)
These non-dimensional parameters can be reduced to seven non-dimensional definitions shown in Equation (7) by utilizing Buckingham's argument with g, and yb as the repeatable factors.
(7)
where is Froude number (Fr) (Qasim et al. 2022); and is Reynolds number (Re).
Since the experiments dose conducted under a fully turbulent regime, the Reynolds number dropped, and Equation (7) became:
(8)
Besides, the Buckingham theorem allows us to use arithmetic operations to combine dimensionless constants; it is also possible to acquire particular new non-dimensional quantities, then Equation (8) can be described as
(9)

Modelling of discharge coefficient using MLR

Regression analysis is engaged in many applications. These applications' linear and non-linear analysis depends on the variables involved for instances of these equations obtained when more than one variable is used in the MLR model. Several experiments with several equation models were studied using the SPSS user guide to get a general equation for the coefficient of discharge in free overfall with a triangular edge.

Equation (9) produces an MLR with a correlation coefficient 0.392 using several SPSS models:
(10)
where are constants, and is measured in radians.
(11)

The percentage error for Cd values is calculated using Equation (11), and experimental values do not exceed 10%.

This section details the results of the GMDH networks and the suggested GMDH model for the discharge coefficient of triangular free overfall. In GMDH, a model may be visualized as a succession of neurons linked to one another by quadratic and tri-quadratic polynomials, with each subsequent step resulting in the formation of a new neuron. Based on the input parameters, this combination might anticipate the output values. Therefore, utilizing the observed effective parameters of the triangular form free overfall, the primary goal is to find the output parameter Cd. Consequently, using ‘n’ parameters, a single output parameter Cd may be determined using Equation (12) (Najafzadeh & Barani 2011):
(12)
where y is the output parameter (Cd) and a, x are the input parameters.

As case studies of the generalized architecture, six standard algorithms may be created:

  • (1)

    Only the middle components of the multilayered iterative algorithm (MIA) contain pairs.

  • (2)

    The middle and beginning factors occur in pairs in the relaxation iterative algorithm (RIA).

  • (3)

    CIA stands for combined iterative algorithm, which allows for pairing middle and starting factors.

  • (4)

    Iterative-combinational multilayered (MICA).

  • (5)

    Iterative-combinational relaxation (RICA).

  • (6)

    Combined iterative-combinational (CICA) (practically equivalent to GIA).

The 24 outputs group of the GMDH models (models 11–16, models 21–26, models 31–36, and models 41–46) compared to the regression models suggested by Bos (1985), Fritz & Hager (1998), and Goodarzi et al. (2012). The recommended GMDH network (best from all 24 groups) under consideration yielded a coefficient of determination of 92.168, 97.117, 100, and 100% for four GMDH models (mod11, mod21, mod36, and mod46) (Figure 3).

These four selected models can be expressed as

mod11 < - gmdh.combi(X = x, y = y, G = 2, criteria = "ICOMP")

mod21 < - gmdh.combi.twice(X = x, y = y, G = 2, criteria = "ICOMP")

mod36 < - gmdh.mia(X = x, y = y, prune = 150, criteria = "PRESS")

mod46 < - gmdh.mia(X = x, y = y, prune = 200, criteria = "PRESS")

where,

G = 2: polynomial degree.

GMDH external standard

Values:

Criteria = "PRESS"; Predicted Residual Error Sum of Squares. It calculates without processing a system per reference node and considering all data into a standard sample.

ICOMP: Index of Informational Complexity. Like PRESS, it calculates without the need to recalculate the system.

Prune:

The number of prior predictors is the suggested minimum value for this integer.

The amount of RAM available will determine the highest values. It advises working at the highest value, although it can be time-consuming and computationally.

From layer i, the number of neurons pruned to layer i + 1 is the number chosen. The resultant layer i + 1 contains prune (prune − 1)/2 neurons; for example, if prune = 190 use, the causing neurons are 11.175. Table 1 shows the resulting layers used in all GMDH models. Given many fitted models to select the best algorithm and model with the highest fitting accuracy, Table 1 is the most concise description of the inner layers and internal functions used in the fits.

Table 1

The layers and neurons of all models selected

12345678910111213141516171819
 Layer Neurons                    
mod11                      
mod12                      
mod13                      
mod14                      
mod15                      
mod16                      
mod21                     
mod22                     
mod23                     
mod24 10                     
mod25                     
mod26                     
mod31               
mod32 14 12 41 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102       
mod33 20 12 42 228 4,092 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,023 11,023 11,023 
mod34               
mod35 12 12 42 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102         
mod36 196 12 42 250 5,562 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 ….    
mod41                 
mod42                 
mod43 16 12 42 228 4,092 19,897 …              
mod44 10 12 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42           
mod45 74 12 42 250 1,222 …               
mod46 190 12 42 250 5,562 19,897 …              
12345678910111213141516171819
 Layer Neurons                    
mod11                      
mod12                      
mod13                      
mod14                      
mod15                      
mod16                      
mod21                     
mod22                     
mod23                     
mod24 10                     
mod25                     
mod26                     
mod31               
mod32 14 12 41 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102       
mod33 20 12 42 228 4,092 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,023 11,023 11,023 
mod34               
mod35 12 12 42 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102 102         
mod36 196 12 42 250 5,562 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 ….    
mod41                 
mod42                 
mod43 16 12 42 228 4,092 19,897 …              
mod44 10 12 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42           
mod45 74 12 42 250 1,222 …               
mod46 190 12 42 250 5,562 19,897 …              

The flowchart methodology of the present study is shown in Figure 4.
Figure 4

The flowchart methodology of the present study.

Figure 4

The flowchart methodology of the present study.

Close modal

Table 2 describes the parameters for all models using the GMDH technique.

Table 2

Describes the parameters of model 11 to model 46 for the GMDH model setting, count of fitted equations different according to models

Model namePolynomial degreeCriteriaPrune
Build a regression model performing GMDH combinatorial 
Model 11 Original Ivakhnenko quadratic polynomial ICOMP  
Model 12 Linear regression with interaction terms ICOMP  
Model 13 Linear regression without quadratic and interaction terms ICOMP  
Model 14 Original Ivakhnenko quadratic polynomial PRESS  
Model 15 Linear regression with interaction terms PRESS  
Model 16 Linear regression without quadratic and interaction terms PRESS  
Create a linear regression using the GMDH twice-multilayered combinatorial (TMC) method 
Model 21 Original Ivakhnenko quadratic polynomial ICOMP 
Model 22 Linear regression with interaction terms ICOMP 
Model 23 Linear regression without quadratic and interaction terms ICOMP 
Model 24 Original Ivakhnenko quadratic polynomial PRESS 10 
Model 25 Linear regression with interaction terms PRESS 
Model 26 Linear regression without quadratic and interaction terms PRESS 
Create a proposed model using ActiveNeurons and the GMDH GIA (generalized iterative algorithm) (combinatorial algorithm) 
Model 31  ICOMP 
Model 32  ICOMP 14 
Model 33  ICOMP 20 
Model 34  PRESS 
Model 35  PRESS 12 
Model 36  PRESS 196 
Create an estimation technique for GMDH MIA (Multilayered Iterative Algorithm) 
Model 41  ICOMP 
Model 42  ICOMP 
Model 43  ICOMP 16 
Model 44  PRESS 10 
Model 45  PRESS 74 
Model 46  PRESS 190 
Model namePolynomial degreeCriteriaPrune
Build a regression model performing GMDH combinatorial 
Model 11 Original Ivakhnenko quadratic polynomial ICOMP  
Model 12 Linear regression with interaction terms ICOMP  
Model 13 Linear regression without quadratic and interaction terms ICOMP  
Model 14 Original Ivakhnenko quadratic polynomial PRESS  
Model 15 Linear regression with interaction terms PRESS  
Model 16 Linear regression without quadratic and interaction terms PRESS  
Create a linear regression using the GMDH twice-multilayered combinatorial (TMC) method 
Model 21 Original Ivakhnenko quadratic polynomial ICOMP 
Model 22 Linear regression with interaction terms ICOMP 
Model 23 Linear regression without quadratic and interaction terms ICOMP 
Model 24 Original Ivakhnenko quadratic polynomial PRESS 10 
Model 25 Linear regression with interaction terms PRESS 
Model 26 Linear regression without quadratic and interaction terms PRESS 
Create a proposed model using ActiveNeurons and the GMDH GIA (generalized iterative algorithm) (combinatorial algorithm) 
Model 31  ICOMP 
Model 32  ICOMP 14 
Model 33  ICOMP 20 
Model 34  PRESS 
Model 35  PRESS 12 
Model 36  PRESS 196 
Create an estimation technique for GMDH MIA (Multilayered Iterative Algorithm) 
Model 41  ICOMP 
Model 42  ICOMP 
Model 43  ICOMP 16 
Model 44  PRESS 10 
Model 45  PRESS 74 
Model 46  PRESS 190 

The formulas for computation free overfall before the coefficient of runoff studies are presented in Table 3.

Table 3

Formulas for computation of free overfall discharge coefficient in the prior lecturer

AuthorsEquations
Bos (1985)   13 
Fritz & Hager (1998)   14 
Goodarzi et al. (2012)   15 
AuthorsEquations
Bos (1985)   13 
Fritz & Hager (1998)   14 
Goodarzi et al. (2012)   15 

is the upstream face slope; P is the weir height; l is the crest length, h is a depth of flow over the crest.

Figure 5 shows line plots for the goodness of fit in best-selected models vs. the unbiasedness line and the MLR model (Residuals × 1006 sorted by observation). The excellent fit between models according to observation values and estrangement of the MLR values can be seen.
Figure 5

The goodness of fit in best-selected models vs. observation and MLR models (Residuals × 106 sorted by observation).

Figure 5

The goodness of fit in best-selected models vs. observation and MLR models (Residuals × 106 sorted by observation).

Close modal
The residuals in Figure 6 show that mod36 and mod46 are almost on the unbiasedness line. To further explore and increase accuracy, the unbiasedness line examines two models, mod36 and mod46, separately by removing the other models.
Figure 6

The goodness of fit between mod36 vs. mod46 (Residuals × 106 sorted by observation).

Figure 6

The goodness of fit between mod36 vs. mod46 (Residuals × 106 sorted by observation).

Close modal

According to Figure 6, the residuals of both models are minimal, and the choice between these two models depends on other conditions such as difficulty.

Figure 7 shows the relation between (Cd) observed from experimental data and that predicted using MLR and GMDH. The best four models used are mod (11, 21, 36, and 46). The figure observed that the error between observed values and GMDH models does not exceed ±2%. At the same time, there are cleared unexpected data points for the MLR method, which prove that this method gives poor efficiency compared with the GMDH technique. Thereby, recommend the GMDH models usage generally to anticipate Cd of free overfall.
Figure 7

An examination of Cd computed using GMDH and Cd observed.

Figure 7

An examination of Cd computed using GMDH and Cd observed.

Close modal

Indexes for results

Below is a calculation and definition of the subjective output of the accessible equations in terms of (R2) determination coefficient, root mean square error (RMSE), scatter index (SI), and mean absolute relative error (MARE).

The determination coefficient is the proportion of the variance that is foreseeable from the independent parameters in the dependent variable, which usually ranges from 0 to 1.
(16)

where and are the corresponding typical and investigated Cd values; and are the average of the measured amounts of Cd and the typical values, respectively.

RMSE is also used to calculate the discrepancy between a model's predicted values and those observed from the modelled thing. RMSE is one of the widely used statistics for error index is:
(17)
The SI determines by dividing RMSE by the mean of the observations. Concerning the mean remark, it presents the percentage of RMSE difference or gives the rate of expected error with the argument is
(18)
In statistics, the MARE is a loss formula for artificial intelligence regression issues that use typically to quantify the validity of an estimation system's forecast. Usually, accuracy indicates as a ratio specified by the formula:
(19)
The Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency relationship is employed to assess the predictive ability of hydrological analyses. Compared to the calculated data variance, it is mathematically validated that specifies the amount of the response values (‘noise’) and shows how well the plot of observed versus expected data matches the 1:1 axis.
(20)

E = 1 corresponds to an ideal combination of the expected coefficient of discharge with the data gathered; E = 0 denotes that the model is just as potent as the current data's average; and −∞ < E < 0 indicates that the identified median value is preferable than the model, meaning that the findings are undesirable.

Table 4 compares performance parameters and percentage error of GMDH, MLR model, and available equation of free overfall coefficient of discharge in literature.

Table 4

Performance parameters of the coefficient of discharge for MLR and GMDH compared with previous literature

Present (MLR) resultsPresent (GMDH) results
Bos (1985) Fritz & Hager (1998) Goodarzi et al. (2012) 
mod11mod21mod36mod46
RMSE 0.063 0.008 0.005 1.93 × 10−14 6.08 × 10−17 0.063 0.089 0.072 
MARE 0.059 0.006 0.004 1.48 × 10−14 2.65 × 10−17 0.059 0.092 0.060 
SI 0.066 0.008 0.005 1.90 × 10−14 6.00 × 10−17 0.066 0.096 0.066 
R2 15.431% 92.16% 97.11% 100.00% 100.00% 24.661% 33.834% 5.522% 
NSE −3.041 0.921 0.971 1.000 1.000 −3.036 −7.060 −4.237 
Present (MLR) resultsPresent (GMDH) results
Bos (1985) Fritz & Hager (1998) Goodarzi et al. (2012) 
mod11mod21mod36mod46
RMSE 0.063 0.008 0.005 1.93 × 10−14 6.08 × 10−17 0.063 0.089 0.072 
MARE 0.059 0.006 0.004 1.48 × 10−14 2.65 × 10−17 0.059 0.092 0.060 
SI 0.066 0.008 0.005 1.90 × 10−14 6.00 × 10−17 0.066 0.096 0.066 
R2 15.431% 92.16% 97.11% 100.00% 100.00% 24.661% 33.834% 5.522% 
NSE −3.041 0.921 0.971 1.000 1.000 −3.036 −7.060 −4.237 

GMDH and MLR models predicted outcomes that are adequately related to the accessible equations of Cd for free overfall. The qualitative performance of the present MLR has low RMSE (0.06332), MARE (0.05970), SI (0.06624), NSE (−3.0419), and R2 (15.431%), respectively. The GMDH model has lower RMSE (6.08 × 10−17), MARE (2.65 × 10−17), S.I. (6.00 × 10−17), higher NSE and R2 (1.000) and (100.00%), respectively, this demonstrates that it performs better than other available predictors.

Radar plot for the goodness of fit in selected models estimated from the present work vs. other models calculated from equations shown in Table 4 (Residuals × 106 sorted by observation values shown in Figure 8). The results refer to the existing agreement between observed values, and that data are calculated from theoretical methods (GMDH), and the best models 36 and 46, while model 46 took 28 h running. In contrast, model 36 took 18 h, so model 36 is recommended because it took less time and gave better values than other models.
Figure 8

Radar plot for the goodness of fit in selected models vs. other models (Residuals × 106 sorted by observation values).

Figure 8

Radar plot for the goodness of fit in selected models vs. other models (Residuals × 106 sorted by observation values).

Close modal

This study conducted the experimental analysis of Cd for triangular end-shape free overfall using 180 collected data based on data collected. Numerical models (MLR and GMDH) apply to predicting outcomes. Data were collected for two models (with and opposite) flow directions with three different angles (60°, 75°, and 90°). Results show that RMSE, MARE, SI, R2, and NSE values for testing data in GMDH technique mod36 are 1.93E-14, 1.48E-14, 1.90E-14, 100.00%, and 1.00, respectively, while these values for MLR are 0.06332, 0.05970, 0.06624, 15.431%, and −3.0419, respectively. From these results, the performance of the GMDH technique gives excellent indications for using this technique in the future because of its accuracy in calculating Cd. Even though the MLR model has an incredible ability to fit and predict, in contrast to the GMDH method, MLR has a much lower power in explaining the response variable. The results show that all four selected GMDH models have much higher levels of prediction. Model 46 took 28 h to run and gave the best results, while model 36 took 18 h, so model 36 was recommended because it took less time and gave better values than the other 24 scenarios. Also, the results show that the worst GMDH estimate has far better results than the best MLR.

A.Y.M. would like to thank the staff of the hydraulic laboratory in the dams and water resources department for their support in laboratory work.

All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

All Relevant data are included in the paper or its Supplementary Information.

The authors declare there is no conflict.

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