Stochastic simulation of urbanhydrological processes

Calculations in urban hydrology have almost exclusively been of deterministic character and give therefore unequivocal results. Uncertainties, which are always present, can not been eliminated by more complex models. To take uncertainties into account stochastic algorithms are integrated into hydrological components. A stochastic-hydrological method has developed which can be used to various problems. In contrast to the usual purely deterministic models the model makes it possible to get concrete information of liability of the calibration and prognosis regarding confidence limits The model is applied for the calibration and prognosis of pollutant load hydrographs. The result is, that stochastic and physical based parameters should be taken into account.