This study applies the clonal selection algorithm (CSA) in an artificial immune system (AIS) as an alternative method to predicting future rainfall data. The stochastic and the artificial neural network techniques are commonly used in hydrology. However, in this study a novel technique for forecasting rainfall was established. Results from this study have proven that the theory of biological immune systems could be technically applied to time series data. Biological immune systems are nonlinear and chaotic in nature similar to the daily rainfall data. This study discovered that the proposed CSA was able to predict the daily rainfall data with an accuracy of 90% during the model training stage. In the testing stage, the results showed that an accuracy between the actual and the generated data was within the range of 75 to 92%. Thus, the CSA approach shows a new method in rainfall data prediction.
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Research Article|
October 18 2014
A clonal selection algorithm model for daily rainfall data prediction
N. S. Noor Rodi;
N. S. Noor Rodi
1Department of Civil Engineering, Universiti Tenaga Nasional, IKRAM-UNITEN Road, 43000 Kajang, Selangor, Malaysia
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M. A. Malek;
M. A. Malek
1Department of Civil Engineering, Universiti Tenaga Nasional, IKRAM-UNITEN Road, 43000 Kajang, Selangor, Malaysia
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Amelia Ritahani Ismail;
Amelia Ritahani Ismail
2Department of Computer Science, Kulliyyah of Information and Communication Technology, International Islamic University Malaysia, P.O. Box 10, 50728 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
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Sie Chun Ting;
1Department of Civil Engineering, Universiti Tenaga Nasional, IKRAM-UNITEN Road, 43000 Kajang, Selangor, Malaysia
E-mail: [email protected]
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Chao-Wei Tang
Chao-Wei Tang
3Department of Civil Engineering and Geomatics, Cheng Shiu University, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
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Water Sci Technol (2014) 70 (10): 1641–1647.
Article history
Received:
July 03 2014
Accepted:
October 06 2014
Citation
N. S. Noor Rodi, M. A. Malek, Amelia Ritahani Ismail, Sie Chun Ting, Chao-Wei Tang; A clonal selection algorithm model for daily rainfall data prediction. Water Sci Technol 1 November 2014; 70 (10): 1641–1647. doi: https://doi.org/10.2166/wst.2014.420
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